On Training Survival Models with Scoring Rules
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Abstract (arXiv)
Scoring rules are an established way of comparing predictive performances across model classes. In the context of survival analysis, they require adaptation in order to accommodate censoring. This work investigates using scoring rules for model training rather than evaluation. Doing so, we establish a general framework for training survival models that is model agnostic and can learn event time distributions parametrically or non-parametrically. In addition, our framework is not restricted to any specific scoring rule. While we focus on neural network-based implementations, we also provide proof-of-concept implementations using gradient boosting, generalized additive models, and trees. Empirical comparisons on synthetic and real-world data indicate that scoring rules can be successfully incorporated into model training and yield competitive predictive performance with established time-to-event models.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 6 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Mar 2024.
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References · 6
- 2017Machine Learning for Survival Analysis: A Surveycited by 112
- 2023Deep Learning for Survival Analysis: A Reviewcited by 75
- 2018A Scalable Discrete-Time Survival Model for Neural Networkscited by 72
- 2021Survival Regression with Proper Scoring Rules and Monotonic Neural Networkscited by 42
- 2018Countdown Regression: Sharp and Calibrated Survival Predictionscited by 31
- 2023Proper Scoring Rules for Survival Analysiscited by 9
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