Six Fallacies in Substituting Large Language Models for Human Participants
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Abstract (arXiv)
Can AI systems like large language models (LLMs) replace human participants in behavioral and psychological research? Here I critically evaluate the "replacement" perspective and identify six interpretive fallacies that undermine its validity. These fallacies are: (1) equating token prediction with human intelligence, (2) treating LLMs as the average human, (3) interpreting alignment as explanation, (4) anthropomorphizing AI systems, (5) essentializing identities, and (6) substituting model data for human evidence. Each fallacy represents a potential misunderstanding about what LLMs are and what they can tell us about human cognition. The analysis distinguishes levels of similarity between LLMs and humans, particularly functional equivalence (outputs) versus mechanistic equivalence (processes), while highlighting both technical limitations (addressable through engineering) and conceptual limitations (arising from fundamental differences between statistical and biological intelligence). For each fallacy, specific safeguards are provided to guide responsible research practices. Ultimately, the analysis supports conceptualizing LLMs as pragmatic simulation tools--useful for role-play, rapid hypothesis testing, and computational modeling (provided their outputs are validated against human data)--rather than as replacements for human participants. This framework enables researchers to leverage language models productively while respecting the fundamental differences between machine intelligence and human thought.
Key facts. Cited by 24 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 6 Feb 2024.
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 8; 2026: 16.
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- 2025The threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human datacited by 13
- 2025From Prompts to Constructs: A Dual-Validity Framework for Large Language Model Research in Psychologycited by 9
- 2025A validity-guided workflow for robust large language model research in psychologycited by 8
- 2025Large Language Models as Psychological Simulators: A Methodological Guidecited by 6
- 2025Adding LLMs to the psycholinguistic norming toolbox: A practical guide to getting the most out of human ratingscited by 3
- 2026Assessing Risks of Large Language Models in Mental Health Support: A Framework for Automated Clinical AI Red Teamingcited by 3
- 2026When Synthetic Users Fail: A Cross-Domain Benchmark of LLM-Simulated Human Survey Responsescited by 3
- 2025Towards Operational Validation of LLM-Agent Social Simulations: A Replicated Study of a Reddit-like Technology Forumcited by 2
- 2025Can Finetuing LLMs on Small Human Samples Increase Heterogeneity, Alignment, and Belief-Action Coherence?cited by 2
- 2025Debiasing International Attitudes: LLM Agents for Simulating US-China Perception Changescited by 1
- 2026LLM surprisal is necessary but not sufficient to capture English garden-path effects: Evidence from joint latent modeling of reading paradigmscited by 1
- 2026Consequential Behaviour and Representational Fairness in the Validation of Synthetic Researchcited by 1
12 more
- 2026Beyond Instrumental and Substitutive Paradigms: Introducing Machine Culture as an Emergent Phenomenon in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Chinese sensorimotor and embodiment norms for 3,000 lexicalized conceptscited by 0
- 2026APS: Bias-Controlled Adaptive Prototype Simulation for Population-Scale LLM Agentscited by 0
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgmentcited by 0
- 2026How Do Large Language Models Judge Social Attraction? Evidence from Theory-Grounded Persona Ratings Across Multiple LLMs and Humanscited by 0
- 2026Process-Constituted Intelligence: A Shared Criterion for Humans and Machinescited by 0
- 2026Six misconceptions about large language models: A minimal model and diagnostic taxonomycited by 0
- 2026Item-Mean Surrogates: Why Richer Persona Data Fail to Improve LLMs as Human Surrogatescited by 0
- 2026Human-like moral judgments conceal divergent motive attributions in large language modelscited by 0
- 2026The Internal Anatomy of Strategic Choice in Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaborationcited by 0
- 2026Thinking Less to Simulate Better: Intuitive Prompting Improves LLM Agents Simulating Individual Social Media Reactions, Including Unfamiliar Contentcited by 0
- 2026Thinking Less to Simulate Better: Intuitive Prompting Improves LLM Agents Simulating Individual Social Media Reactions, Including Unfamiliar Content24 Sep 2026
- 2026Consequential Behaviour and Representational Fairness in the Validation of Synthetic Research23 Sep 2026
- 2026The Internal Anatomy of Strategic Choice in Large Language Models7 Sep 2026
- 2026Human-like moral judgments conceal divergent motive attributions in large language models7 Sep 2026
- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaboration6 Sep 2026
- 2026Item-Mean Surrogates: Why Richer Persona Data Fail to Improve LLMs as Human Surrogates29 Aug 2026
- 2026Six misconceptions about large language models: A minimal model and diagnostic taxonomy19 Aug 2026
- 2026Process-Constituted Intelligence: A Shared Criterion for Humans and Machines17 Aug 2026
- 2026How Do Large Language Models Judge Social Attraction? Evidence from Theory-Grounded Persona Ratings Across Multiple LLMs and Humans10 Aug 2026
- 2026When Synthetic Users Fail: A Cross-Domain Benchmark of LLM-Simulated Human Survey Responses28 Jul 2026
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgment6 Jul 2026
- 2026Chinese sensorimotor and embodiment norms for 3,000 lexicalized concepts21 May 2026
12 more
- 2026APS: Bias-Controlled Adaptive Prototype Simulation for Population-Scale LLM Agents19 May 2026
- 2026Assessing Risks of Large Language Models in Mental Health Support: A Framework for Automated Clinical AI Red Teaming23 Feb 2026
- 2026LLM surprisal is necessary but not sufficient to capture English garden-path effects: Evidence from joint latent modeling of reading paradigms4 Feb 2026
- 2026Beyond Instrumental and Substitutive Paradigms: Introducing Machine Culture as an Emergent Phenomenon in Large Language Models23 Jan 2026
- 2025Can Finetuing LLMs on Small Human Samples Increase Heterogeneity, Alignment, and Belief-Action Coherence?26 Nov 2025
- 2025Adding LLMs to the psycholinguistic norming toolbox: A practical guide to getting the most out of human ratings17 Sep 2025
- 2025The threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human data16 Sep 2025
- 2025Towards Operational Validation of LLM-Agent Social Simulations: A Replicated Study of a Reddit-like Technology Forum29 Aug 2025
- 2025Debiasing International Attitudes: LLM Agents for Simulating US-China Perception Changes12 Aug 2025
- 2025A validity-guided workflow for robust large language model research in psychology6 Jul 2025
- 2025Large Language Models as Psychological Simulators: A Methodological Guide20 Jun 2025
- 2025From Prompts to Constructs: A Dual-Validity Framework for Large Language Model Research in Psychology20 Jun 2025
- 2025Towards Operational Validation of LLM-Agent Social Simulations: A Replicated Study of a Reddit-like Technology Forumcited by 2
- 2026APS: Bias-Controlled Adaptive Prototype Simulation for Population-Scale LLM Agentscited by 0
- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaborationcited by 0
- 2026Thinking Less to Simulate Better: Intuitive Prompting Improves LLM Agents Simulating Individual Social Media Reactions, Including Unfamiliar Contentcited by 0
- 2026Thinking Less to Simulate Better: Intuitive Prompting Improves LLM Agents Simulating Individual Social Media Reactions, Including Unfamiliar Content24 Sep 2026
- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaboration6 Sep 2026
- 2026APS: Bias-Controlled Adaptive Prototype Simulation for Population-Scale LLM Agents19 May 2026
- 2025Towards Operational Validation of LLM-Agent Social Simulations: A Replicated Study of a Reddit-like Technology Forum29 Aug 2025
- 2025The threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human datacited by 13
- 2025From Prompts to Constructs: A Dual-Validity Framework for Large Language Model Research in Psychologycited by 9
- 2025A validity-guided workflow for robust large language model research in psychologycited by 8
- 2025Large Language Models as Psychological Simulators: A Methodological Guidecited by 6
- 2025Adding LLMs to the psycholinguistic norming toolbox: A practical guide to getting the most out of human ratingscited by 3
- 2026When Synthetic Users Fail: A Cross-Domain Benchmark of LLM-Simulated Human Survey Responsescited by 3
- 2025Can Finetuing LLMs on Small Human Samples Increase Heterogeneity, Alignment, and Belief-Action Coherence?cited by 2
- 2025Debiasing International Attitudes: LLM Agents for Simulating US-China Perception Changescited by 1
- 2026LLM surprisal is necessary but not sufficient to capture English garden-path effects: Evidence from joint latent modeling of reading paradigmscited by 1
- 2026Consequential Behaviour and Representational Fairness in the Validation of Synthetic Researchcited by 1
- 2026Chinese sensorimotor and embodiment norms for 3,000 lexicalized conceptscited by 0
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgmentcited by 0
12 most cited of 18 All 18 (JSON)
- 2026Consequential Behaviour and Representational Fairness in the Validation of Synthetic Research23 Sep 2026
- 2026The Internal Anatomy of Strategic Choice in Large Language Models7 Sep 2026
- 2026Human-like moral judgments conceal divergent motive attributions in large language models7 Sep 2026
- 2026Item-Mean Surrogates: Why Richer Persona Data Fail to Improve LLMs as Human Surrogates29 Aug 2026
- 2026Six misconceptions about large language models: A minimal model and diagnostic taxonomy19 Aug 2026
- 2026Process-Constituted Intelligence: A Shared Criterion for Humans and Machines17 Aug 2026
- 2026How Do Large Language Models Judge Social Attraction? Evidence from Theory-Grounded Persona Ratings Across Multiple LLMs and Humans10 Aug 2026
- 2026When Synthetic Users Fail: A Cross-Domain Benchmark of LLM-Simulated Human Survey Responses28 Jul 2026
- 2026The yes-no bias of large language models reflects answer order and wording, not shifts in moral judgment6 Jul 2026
- 2026Chinese sensorimotor and embodiment norms for 3,000 lexicalized concepts21 May 2026
- 2026LLM surprisal is necessary but not sufficient to capture English garden-path effects: Evidence from joint latent modeling of reading paradigms4 Feb 2026
- 2025Can Finetuing LLMs on Small Human Samples Increase Heterogeneity, Alignment, and Belief-Action Coherence?26 Nov 2025
12 newest of 18 All 18 (JSON)