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DCRMTA: Deep Causal Representation Learning for Multi-Touch Attribution

arXiv 2401.08875 ↗First posted 16 Jan 2024cs.LG cs.AI stat.MEcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Multi-touch attribution (MTA) is essential for estimating the contribution of individual advertising touchpoints to user conversions. While recent studies incorporate causal inference to mitigate confounding bias from user preferences, existing multi-stage deconfounding pipelines exhibit a critical structural flaw: they indiscriminately filter out user influences, which inadvertently discards the genuine causal signals linking user covariates to conversions. To resolve this trade-off, we propose Deep Causal Representation for MTA (DCRMTA), an end-to-end framework that explicitly quantifies and preserves the causal impact of user features. By leveraging structural causal modeling and adaptive counterfactual attention perturbations, DCRMTA distills invariant user representations while actively decoupling them from latent confounding variables. Extensive experiments on real-world industrial datasets demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. DCRMTA effectively improves predictive accuracy yielding up to a 5.2% relative improvement in PR-AUC over strong baselines while providing robust, Shapley-based credit allocations across complex marketing channels.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Jan 2024.

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10 of 28 references.

References · 10

  1. 2017Deep Interest Network for Click-Through Rate Predictioncited by 541
  2. 2015Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervalscited by 533
  3. 2020Representation Learning via Invariant Causal Mechanismscited by 197
  4. 2020Estimating Counterfactual Treatment Outcomes over Time Through Adversarially Balanced Representationscited by 154
  5. 2016Display Advertising with Real-Time Bidding (RTB) and Behavioural Targetingcited by 42
  6. 2018Deep Neural Net with Attention for Multi-channel Multi-touch Attributioncited by 12
  7. 2020CAMTA: Causal Attention Model for Multi-touch Attributioncited by 12
  8. 2021CausalMTA: Eliminating the User Confounding Bias for Causal Multi-touch Attributioncited by 12
  9. 2018Learning Multi-touch Conversion Attribution with Dual-attention Mechanisms for Online Advertisingcited by 9
  10. 2020Interpretable Deep Learning Model for Online Multi-touch Attributioncited by 4

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