mlsanityData to 13 Oct 2026

Estimating Uncertainty in Landslide Segmentation Models

arXiv 2311.11138 ↗First posted 18 Nov 2023cs.CVcited by 3

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Abstract (arXiv)

Landslides are a recurring, widespread hazard. Preparation and mitigation efforts can be aided by a high-quality, large-scale dataset that covers global at-risk areas. Such a dataset currently does not exist and is impossible to construct manually. Recent automated efforts focus on deep learning models for landslide segmentation (pixel labeling) from satellite imagery. However, it is also important to characterize the uncertainty or confidence levels of such segmentations. Accurate and robust uncertainty estimates can enable low-cost (in terms of manual labor) oversight of auto-generated landslide databases to resolve errors, identify hard negative examples, and increase the size of labeled training data. In this paper, we evaluate several methods for assessing pixel-level uncertainty of the segmentation. Three methods that do not require architectural changes were compared, including Pre-Threshold activations, Monte-Carlo Dropout and Test-Time Augmentation -- a method that measures the robustness of predictions in the face of data augmentation. Experimentally, the quality of the latter method was consistently higher than the others across a variety of models and metrics in our dataset.

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 14 of its 35 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Nov 2023.

Builds on

14 of 35 references.

References · 14

  1. 2015U-Net: Convolutional Networks for Biomedical Image Segmentationcited by 19,656
  2. 2014Fully Convolutional Networks for Semantic Segmentationcited by 4,849
  3. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,430
  4. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,902
  5. 2016DeepLab: Semantic Image Segmentation with Deep Convolutional Nets, Atrous Convolution, and Fully Connected CRFscited by 3,240
  6. 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,340
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  8. 2019A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 557
  9. 2018Aleatoric uncertainty estimation with test-time augmentation for medical image segmentation with convolutional neural networkscited by 280
  10. 2019Accurate Uncertainty Estimation and Decomposition in Ensemble Learningcited by 42
  11. 2018Comparison of Reinforcement Learning algorithms applied to the Cart Pole problemcited by 12
  12. 2018Learning Dynamics from Kinematics: Estimating 2D Foot Pressure Maps from Video Framescited by 7
2 more
  1. 2022PatchRefineNet: Improving Binary Segmentation by Incorporating Signals from Optimal Patch-wise Binarizationcited by 6
  2. 2019Landslide Geohazard Assessment With Convolutional Neural Networks Using Sentinel-2 Imagery Datacited by 2

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Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 1.

3 papers.