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Partially Specified Causal Simulations

arXiv 2309.10514 ↗First posted 19 Sep 2023stat.ME cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Simulation studies play a key role in the validation of causal inference methods. The simulation results are reliable only if the study is designed according to the promised operational conditions of the method-in-test. Still, many causal inference literature tend to design over-restricted or misspecified studies. In this paper, we elaborate on the problem of improper simulation design for causal methods and compile a list of desiderata for an effective simulation framework. We then introduce partially randomized causal simulation (PARCS), a simulation framework that meets those desiderata. PARCS synthesizes data based on graphical causal models and a wide range of adjustable parameters. There is a legible mapping from usual causal assumptions to the parameters, thus, users can identify and specify the subset of related parameters and randomize the remaining ones to generate a range of complying data-generating processes for their causal method. The result is a more comprehensive and inclusive empirical investigation for causal claims. Using PARCS, we reproduce and extend the simulation studies of two well-known causal discovery and missing data analysis papers to emphasize the necessity of a proper simulation design. Our results show that those papers would have improved and extended the findings, had they used PARCS for simulation. The framework is implemented as a Python package, too. By discussing the comprehensiveness and transparency of PARCS, we encourage causal inference researchers to utilize it as a standard tool for future works.

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References · 7

  1. 2021Beware of the Simulated DAG! Causal Discovery Benchmarks May Be Easy To Gamecited by 161
  2. 2022HyperImpute: Generalized Iterative Imputation with Automatic Model Selectioncited by 83
  3. 2020Learning Deep Features in Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 66
  4. 2019Atlantic Causal Inference Conference (ACIC) Data Analysis Challenge 2017cited by 24
  5. 2021Data Generating Process to Evaluate Causal Discovery Techniques for Time Series Datacited by 22
  6. 2019Semiparametric Inference for Non-monotone Missing-Not-at-Random Data: the No Self-Censoring Modelcited by 12
  7. 2022Identifiability of Sparse Causal Effects using Instrumental Variablescited by 9

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