On Universally Optimal Algorithms for A/B Testing
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Abstract (arXiv)
We study the problem of best-arm identification with fixed budget in stochastic multi-armed bandits with Bernoulli rewards. For the problem with two arms, also known as the A/B testing problem, we prove that there is no algorithm that (i) performs as well as the algorithm sampling each arm equally (referred to as the it uniform sampling algorithm) in all instances, and that (ii) strictly outperforms uniform sampling on at least one instance. In short, there is no algorithm better than the uniform sampling algorithm. To establish this result, we first introduce the natural class of it consistent and it stable algorithms, and show that any algorithm that performs as well as the uniform sampling algorithm in all instances belongs to this class. The proof then proceeds by deriving a lower bound on the error rate satisfied by any consistent and stable algorithm, and by showing that the uniform sampling algorithm matches this lower bound. Our results provide a solution to the two open problems presented in citepqin2022open. For the general problem with more than two arms, we provide a first set of results. We characterize the asymptotic error rate of the celebrated Successive Rejects (SR) algorithm citepaudibert2010best and show that, surprisingly, the uniform sampling algorithm outperforms the SR algorithm in some instances.
Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 22 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Aug 2023.
Builds on
11 of 22 references.
References · 11
- 2014On the Complexity of Best Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Modelscited by 286
- 2016Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidencecited by 239
- 2016Simple Bayesian Algorithms for Best Arm Identificationcited by 117
- 2016Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problemscited by 79
- 2016Tight (Lower) Bounds for the Fixed Budget Best Arm Identification Bandit Problemcited by 79
- 2014Unimodal Bandits: Regret Lower Bounds and Optimal Algorithmscited by 37
- 2022Minimax Optimal Algorithms for Fixed-Budget Best Arm Identificationcited by 20
- 2023On the Existence of a Complexity in Fixed Budget Bandit Identificationcited by 20
- 2023Open Problem: Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Budgetcited by 18
- 2021Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Samplingcited by 15
- 2014On the Complexity of A/B Testingcited by 14
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 2; 2024: 1; 2025: 1; 2026: 2.
6 papers.
- 2024Prior-Dependent Allocations for Bayesian Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identification in Structured Banditscited by 4
- 2023Worst-Case Optimal Multi-Armed Gaussian Best Arm Identification with a Fixed Budgetcited by 3
- 2023Locally Optimal Fixed-Budget Best Arm Identification in Two-Armed Gaussian Bandits with Unknown Variancescited by 3
- 2026Form, Not Content? A Preregistered, Placebo-Controlled Evaluation of Learned Error-Conditioned Self-Repair Through Prompts and Weights in Frozen Small Code Modelscited by 2
- 2025Admissibility of Completely Randomized Trials: A Large-Deviation Approachcited by 1
- 2026Fundamental Limitations of Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identificationcited by 0
- 2026Form, Not Content? A Preregistered, Placebo-Controlled Evaluation of Learned Error-Conditioned Self-Repair Through Prompts and Weights in Frozen Small Code Models14 Jul 2026
- 2026Fundamental Limitations of Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identification13 Jul 2026
- 2025Admissibility of Completely Randomized Trials: A Large-Deviation Approach5 Jun 2025
- 2024Prior-Dependent Allocations for Bayesian Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identification in Structured Bandits8 Feb 2024
- 2023Locally Optimal Fixed-Budget Best Arm Identification in Two-Armed Gaussian Bandits with Unknown Variances20 Dec 2023
- 2023Worst-Case Optimal Multi-Armed Gaussian Best Arm Identification with a Fixed Budget30 Oct 2023