Hybrid Variational Autoencoder for Time Series Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Variational autoencoders (VAE) are powerful generative models that learn the latent representations of input data as random variables. Recent studies show that VAE can flexibly learn the complex temporal dynamics of time series and achieve more promising forecasting results than deterministic models. However, a major limitation of existing works is that they fail to jointly learn the local patterns (e.g., seasonality and trend) and temporal dynamics of time series for forecasting. Accordingly, we propose a novel hybrid variational autoencoder (HyVAE) to integrate the learning of local patterns and temporal dynamics by variational inference for time series forecasting. Experimental results on four real-world datasets show that the proposed HyVAE achieves better forecasting results than various counterpart methods, as well as two HyVAE variants that only learn the local patterns or temporal dynamics of time series, respectively.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 39 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Mar 2023.
Builds on
15 of 39 references.
References · 15
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 4; 2026: 3.
8 papers.
- 2024Time-Causal VAE: Robust Financial Time Series Generatorcited by 8
- 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecastingcited by 8
- 2025TARFVAE: Efficient One-Step Generative Time Series Forecasting via TARFLOW based VAEcited by 2
- 2025Zero-shot Load Forecasting for Integrated Energy Systems: A Large Language Model-based Framework with Multi-task Learningcited by 1
- 2026Diffusion Models for Adaptive Sequential Data Generationcited by 1
- 2026PAC-Bayesian Reconstruction Guarantees for Time Series Variational Autoencoderscited by 1
- 2025From Classical Probabilistic Latent Variable Models to Modern Generative AI: A Unified Perspectivecited by 0
- 2026DynG-Diff: A State-Aware Dynamic Guidance Diffusion Framework for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026PAC-Bayesian Reconstruction Guarantees for Time Series Variational Autoencoders4 Sep 2026
- 2026DynG-Diff: A State-Aware Dynamic Guidance Diffusion Framework for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting2 Sep 2026
- 2026Diffusion Models for Adaptive Sequential Data Generation4 Jun 2026
- 2025TARFVAE: Efficient One-Step Generative Time Series Forecasting via TARFLOW based VAE28 Nov 2025
- 2025From Classical Probabilistic Latent Variable Models to Modern Generative AI: A Unified Perspective18 Aug 2025
- 2025Multimodal Conditioned Diffusive Time Series Forecasting28 Apr 2025
- 2025Zero-shot Load Forecasting for Integrated Energy Systems: A Large Language Model-based Framework with Multi-task Learning24 Feb 2025
- 2024Time-Causal VAE: Robust Financial Time Series Generator5 Nov 2024