Anatomy of a Stablecoin's failure: the Terra-Luna case
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Abstract (arXiv)
We quantitatively describe the main events that led to the Terra project's failure in May 2022. We first review, in a systematic way, news from heterogeneous social media sources; we discuss the fragility of the Terra project and its vicious dependence on the Anchor protocol. We hence identify the crash's trigger events, analysing hourly and transaction data for Bitcoin, Luna, and TerraUSD. Finally, using state-of-the-art techniques from network science, we study the evolution of dependency structures for 61 highly capitalised cryptocurrencies during the down-market and we also highlight the absence of herding behaviour analysing cross-sectional absolute deviation of returns.
Key facts. Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 28 Jul 2022.
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 4; 2024: 1; 2025: 3; 2026: 1.
9 papers.
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- 2025Information Filtering Networks: Theoretical Foundations, Generative Methodologies, and Real-World Applicationscited by 1
- 2025Leveraging Large Language Models to Bridge Cross-Domain Transparency in Stablecoinscited by 0
- 2026Are Whitepaper Claims Reflected in Market Structure? A Contamination-Aware Pipeline and a Power-Limited Nullcited by 0
- 2026Are Whitepaper Claims Reflected in Market Structure? A Contamination-Aware Pipeline and a Power-Limited Null28 Jan 2026
- 2025Leveraging Large Language Models to Bridge Cross-Domain Transparency in Stablecoins2 Dec 2025
- 2025DeXposure: A Dataset and Benchmarks for Inter-protocol Credit Exposure in Decentralized Financial Networks27 Nov 2025
- 2025Information Filtering Networks: Theoretical Foundations, Generative Methodologies, and Real-World Applications2 May 2025
- 2024Deep Limit Order Book Forecasting14 Mar 2024
- 2023Homological Convolutional Neural Networks26 Aug 2023
- 2023Can Blockchains Reliably Train Machine Learning Models?13 Jul 2023
- 2023Homological Neural Networks: A Sparse Architecture for Multivariate Complexity27 Jun 2023
- 2023Topological Feature Selection19 Feb 2023