A Dilemma for Solomonoff Prediction
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
The framework of Solomonoff prediction assigns prior probability to hypotheses inversely proportional to their Kolmogorov complexity. There are two well-known problems. First, the Solomonoff prior is relative to a choice of Universal Turing machine. Second, the Solomonoff prior is not computable. However, there are responses to both problems. Different Solomonoff priors converge with more and more data. Further, there are computable approximations to the Solomonoff prior. I argue that there is a tension between these two responses. This is because computable approximations to Solomonoff prediction do not always converge.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 1 of its 44 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Jun 2022.
Builds on
1 of 44 references.
References · 1
- 2020On Accuracy and Coherence with Infinite Opinion Setscited by 1
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2022: 1; 2023: 1; 2024: 0; 2025: 0; 2026: 2.
4 papers.
- 2026Solomonoff inductioncited by 2
- 2022Multiclass classification utilising an estimated algorithmic probability priorcited by 1
- 2023Simplicity bias, algorithmic probability, and the random logistic mapcited by 0
- 2026Understanding Generalization Requires Universal Inductioncited by 0
- 2026Understanding Generalization Requires Universal Induction28 Sep 2026
- 2026Solomonoff induction17 Mar 2026
- 2023Simplicity bias, algorithmic probability, and the random logistic map31 Dec 2023
- 2022Multiclass classification utilising an estimated algorithmic probability prior14 Dec 2022