The Multivariate Community Hawkes Model for Dependent Relational Events in Continuous-time Networks
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Abstract (arXiv)
The stochastic block model (SBM) is one of the most widely used generative models for network data. Many continuous-time dynamic network models are built upon the same assumption as the SBM: edges or events between all pairs of nodes are conditionally independent given the block or community memberships, which prevents them from reproducing higher-order motifs such as triangles that are commonly observed in real networks. We propose the multivariate community Hawkes (MULCH) model, an extremely flexible community-based model for continuous-time networks that introduces dependence between node pairs using structured multivariate Hawkes processes. We fit the model using a spectral clustering and likelihood-based local refinement procedure. We find that our proposed MULCH model is far more accurate than existing models both for predictive and generative tasks.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 18 of its 59 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 May 2022.
Builds on
18 of 59 references.
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6 more
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 0; 2024: 0; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
4 papers.
- 2022A Mutually Exciting Latent Space Hawkes Process Model for Continuous-time Networkscited by 10
- 2026Opal: Private Memory for Personal AIcited by 1
- 2022Efficient Estimation for Longitudinal Networks via Adaptive Mergingcited by 0
- 2025Spectral clustering for dependent community Hawkes process models of temporal networkscited by 0
- 2026Opal: Private Memory for Personal AI2 Apr 2026
- 2025Spectral clustering for dependent community Hawkes process models of temporal networks28 May 2025
- 2022Efficient Estimation for Longitudinal Networks via Adaptive Merging15 Nov 2022
- 2022A Mutually Exciting Latent Space Hawkes Process Model for Continuous-time Networks19 May 2022