Top-Down Influence? Predicting CEO Personality and Risk Impact from Speech Transcripts
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Abstract (arXiv)
How much does a CEO's personality impact the performance of their company? Management theory posits a great influence, but it is difficult to show empirically -- there is a lack of publicly available self-reported personality data of top managers. Instead, we propose a text-based personality regressor using crowd-sourced Myers--Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) assessments. The ratings have a high internal and external validity and can be predicted with moderate to strong correlations for three out of four dimensions. Providing evidence for the upper echelons theory, we demonstrate that the predicted CEO personalities have explanatory power of financial risk.
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References · 4
- 2018BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understandingcited by 40,399
- 2019RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approachcited by 13,372
- 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,555
- 2019Energy and Policy Considerations for Deep Learning in NLPcited by 1,254
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