Bayes-Newton Methods for Approximate Bayesian Inference with PSD Guarantees
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Abstract (arXiv)
We formulate natural gradient variational inference (VI), expectation propagation (EP), and posterior linearisation (PL) as extensions of Newton's method for optimising the parameters of a Bayesian posterior distribution. This viewpoint explicitly casts inference algorithms under the framework of numerical optimisation. We show that common approximations to Newton's method from the optimisation literature, namely Gauss-Newton and quasi-Newton methods (e.g., the BFGS algorithm), are still valid under this 'Bayes-Newton' framework. This leads to a suite of novel algorithms which are guaranteed to result in positive semi-definite (PSD) covariance matrices, unlike standard VI and EP. Our unifying viewpoint provides new insights into the connections between various inference schemes. All the presented methods apply to any model with a Gaussian prior and non-conjugate likelihood, which we demonstrate with (sparse) Gaussian processes and state space models.
Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 68 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Nov 2021.
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22 of 68 references.
References · 22
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10 more
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 4; 2024: 4; 2025: 2; 2026: 1.
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- 2024BlackJAX: Composable Bayesian inference in JAXcited by 26
- 2022Markovian Gaussian Process Variational Autoencoderscited by 16
- 2023Variational Gaussian Process Diffusion Processescited by 11
- 2025Robust and Conjugate Spatio-Temporal Gaussian Processescited by 9
- 2024Physics-Informed Variational State-Space Gaussian Processescited by 7
- 2023Improving Hyperparameter Learning under Approximate Inference in Gaussian Process Modelscited by 3
- 2023Short-term Prediction and Filtering of Solar Power Using State-Space Gaussian Processescited by 1
- 2023Efficient Sensor Placement from Regression with Sparse Gaussian Processes in Continuous and Discrete Spacescited by 1
- 2022A Look at Improving Robustness in Visual-inertial SLAM by Moment Matchingcited by 0
- 2024Fearless Stochasticity in Expectation Propagationcited by 0
- 2024Learning Coupled Subspaces for Multi-Condition Spike Datacited by 0
- 2025Recursive Entropic Variational Inference for Nonlinear State-Space Modelscited by 0
1 more
- 2026IMU-Free Body-Frame State Estimation with Sparse Scene Flow for Quadcopters21 Aug 2026
- 2025Recursive Entropic Variational Inference for Nonlinear State-Space Models19 Nov 2025
- 2025Robust and Conjugate Spatio-Temporal Gaussian Processes4 Feb 2025
- 2024Learning Coupled Subspaces for Multi-Condition Spike Data24 Oct 2024
- 2024Physics-Informed Variational State-Space Gaussian Processes20 Sep 2024
- 2024Fearless Stochasticity in Expectation Propagation3 Jun 2024
- 2024BlackJAX: Composable Bayesian inference in JAX16 Feb 2024
- 2023Improving Hyperparameter Learning under Approximate Inference in Gaussian Process Models7 Jun 2023
- 2023Variational Gaussian Process Diffusion Processes3 Jun 2023
- 2023Efficient Sensor Placement from Regression with Sparse Gaussian Processes in Continuous and Discrete Spaces28 Feb 2023
- 2023Short-term Prediction and Filtering of Solar Power Using State-Space Gaussian Processes1 Feb 2023
- 2022Markovian Gaussian Process Variational Autoencoders12 Jul 2022
1 more
- 2024BlackJAX: Composable Bayesian inference in JAXcited by 26
- 2022Markovian Gaussian Process Variational Autoencoderscited by 16
- 2023Variational Gaussian Process Diffusion Processescited by 11
- 2025Robust and Conjugate Spatio-Temporal Gaussian Processescited by 9
- 2024Physics-Informed Variational State-Space Gaussian Processescited by 7
- 2023Improving Hyperparameter Learning under Approximate Inference in Gaussian Process Modelscited by 3
- 2023Short-term Prediction and Filtering of Solar Power Using State-Space Gaussian Processescited by 1
- 2023Efficient Sensor Placement from Regression with Sparse Gaussian Processes in Continuous and Discrete Spacescited by 1
- 2022A Look at Improving Robustness in Visual-inertial SLAM by Moment Matchingcited by 0
- 2024Fearless Stochasticity in Expectation Propagationcited by 0
- 2024Learning Coupled Subspaces for Multi-Condition Spike Datacited by 0
- 2025Recursive Entropic Variational Inference for Nonlinear State-Space Modelscited by 0
12 most cited of 13 All 13 (JSON)
- 2026IMU-Free Body-Frame State Estimation with Sparse Scene Flow for Quadcopters21 Aug 2026
- 2025Recursive Entropic Variational Inference for Nonlinear State-Space Models19 Nov 2025
- 2025Robust and Conjugate Spatio-Temporal Gaussian Processes4 Feb 2025
- 2024Learning Coupled Subspaces for Multi-Condition Spike Data24 Oct 2024
- 2024Physics-Informed Variational State-Space Gaussian Processes20 Sep 2024
- 2024Fearless Stochasticity in Expectation Propagation3 Jun 2024
- 2024BlackJAX: Composable Bayesian inference in JAX16 Feb 2024
- 2023Improving Hyperparameter Learning under Approximate Inference in Gaussian Process Models7 Jun 2023
- 2023Variational Gaussian Process Diffusion Processes3 Jun 2023
- 2023Efficient Sensor Placement from Regression with Sparse Gaussian Processes in Continuous and Discrete Spaces28 Feb 2023
- 2023Short-term Prediction and Filtering of Solar Power Using State-Space Gaussian Processes1 Feb 2023
- 2022Markovian Gaussian Process Variational Autoencoders12 Jul 2022
12 newest of 13 All 13 (JSON)