A unified framework for bandit multiple testing
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Abstract (arXiv)
In bandit multiple hypothesis testing, each arm corresponds to a different null hypothesis that we wish to test, and the goal is to design adaptive algorithms that correctly identify large set of interesting arms (true discoveries), while only mistakenly identifying a few uninteresting ones (false discoveries). One common metric in non-bandit multiple testing is the false discovery rate (FDR). We propose a unified, modular framework for bandit FDR control that emphasizes the decoupling of exploration and summarization of evidence. We utilize the powerful martingale-based concept of "e-processes" to ensure FDR control for arbitrary composite nulls, exploration rules and stopping times in generic problem settings. In particular, valid FDR control holds even if the reward distributions of the arms could be dependent, multiple arms may be queried simultaneously, and multiple (cooperating or competing) agents may be querying arms, covering combinatorial semi-bandit type settings as well. Prior work has considered in great detail the setting where each arm's reward distribution is independent and sub-Gaussian, and a single arm is queried at each step. Our framework recovers matching sample complexity guarantees in this special case, and performs comparably or better in practice. For other settings, sample complexities will depend on the finer details of the problem (composite nulls being tested, exploration algorithm, data dependence structure, stopping rule) and we do not explore these; our contribution is to show that the FDR guarantee is clean and entirely agnostic to these details.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 26 of its 49 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 15 Jul 2021.
Builds on
26 of 49 references.
References · 26
- 2014On the Complexity of Best Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Modelscited by 280
- 2018Time-uniform, nonparametric, nonasymptotic confidence sequencescited by 220
- 2020Estimating means of bounded random variables by bettingcited by 164
- 2013lil' UCB : An Optimal Exploration Algorithm for Multi-Armed Banditscited by 148
- 2016Coin Betting and Parameter-Free Online Learningcited by 131
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- 2014Combinatorial Multi-Armed Bandit and Its Extension to Probabilistically Triggered Armscited by 78
- 2021There are natural scores: Full comment on Shafer, "Testing by betting: A strategy for statistical and scientific communication"cited by 49
- 2020Admissible anytime-valid sequential inference must rely on nonnegative martingalescited by 43
- 2017Why Adaptively Collected Data Have Negative Bias and How to Correct for Itcited by 36
- 2019Testing randomnesscited by 32
- 2021Testing exchangeability: fork-convexity, supermartingales, and e-processescited by 29
14 more
- 2021Retrain or not retrain: Conformal test martingales for change-point detectioncited by 28
- 2019On the bias, risk and consistency of sample means in multi-armed banditscited by 24
- 2019Are sample means in multi-armed bandits positively or negatively biased?cited by 24
- 2021Efficient Pure Exploration for Combinatorial Bandits with Semi-Bandit Feedbackcited by 19
- 2017Nearly Optimal Sampling Algorithms for Combinatorial Pure Explorationcited by 18
- 2017A framework for Multi-A(rmed)/B(andit) testing with online FDR controlcited by 17
- 2017Online Learning for Changing Environments using Coin Bettingcited by 12
- 2020On conditional versus marginal bias in multi-armed banditscited by 9
- 2020A New Perspective on Pool-Based Active Classification and False-Discovery Controlcited by 9
- 2017STAR: A general interactive framework for FDR control under structural constraintscited by 4
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 2; 2024: 2; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
8 papers.
- 2024Adaptive Learn-then-Test: Statistically Valid and Efficient Hyperparameter Selectioncited by 13
- 2023Online multiple testing with e-valuescited by 12
- 2022Multi-disciplinary fairness considerations in machine learning for clinical trialscited by 8
- 2022Adaptive Identification of Populations with Treatment Benefit in Clinical Trials: Machine Learning Challenges and Solutionscited by 2
- 2023Anytime-valid t-tests and confidence sequences for Gaussian means with unknown variancecited by 2
- 2024Combining Evidence Across Filtrationscited by 2
- 2025Reliable Inference in Edge-Cloud Model Cascades via Conformal Alignmentcited by 1
- 2026A Regret Perspective on Online Multiple Testingcited by 0
- 2026A Regret Perspective on Online Multiple Testing13 May 2026
- 2025Reliable Inference in Edge-Cloud Model Cascades via Conformal Alignment20 Oct 2025
- 2024Adaptive Learn-then-Test: Statistically Valid and Efficient Hyperparameter Selection24 Sep 2024
- 2024Combining Evidence Across Filtrations15 Feb 2024
- 2023Online multiple testing with e-values10 Nov 2023
- 2023Anytime-valid t-tests and confidence sequences for Gaussian means with unknown variance5 Oct 2023
- 2022Adaptive Identification of Populations with Treatment Benefit in Clinical Trials: Machine Learning Challenges and Solutions11 Aug 2022
- 2022Multi-disciplinary fairness considerations in machine learning for clinical trials18 May 2022