Optimal Policy Trees
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Abstract (arXiv)
We propose an approach for learning optimal tree-based prescription policies directly from data, combining methods for counterfactual estimation from the causal inference literature with recent advances in training globally-optimal decision trees. The resulting method, Optimal Policy Trees, yields interpretable prescription policies, is highly scalable, and handles both discrete and continuous treatments. We conduct extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets and demonstrate that these trees offer best-in-class performance across a wide variety of problems.
Key facts. Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 3 Dec 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 3; 2023: 6; 2024: 4; 2025: 4.
19 papers.
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- 2022Constrained Prescriptive Trees via Column Generationcited by 6
- 2021Interpretable Personalized Experimentationcited by 3
- 2023A Machine Learning Approach to Two-Stage Adaptive Robust Optimizationcited by 3
- 2023ODTlearn: A Package for Learning Optimal Decision Trees for Prediction and Prescriptioncited by 2
- 2023Fairness Implications of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation with Machine Learning Methods in Policy-makingcited by 2
- 2022Convex Surrogate Loss Functions for Contextual Pricing with Transaction Datacited by 1
- 2023Reducing Air Pollution through Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2023Learning Prescriptive ReLU Networkscited by 1
- 2023The R.O.A.D. to precision medicinecited by 1
- 2024Policy Trees for Prediction: Interpretable and Adaptive Model Selection for Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2025Adaptive Forests For Classificationcited by 1
- 2025Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approachcited by 1
7 more
- 2021Holistic Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2022Policy learning for many outcomes of interest: Combining optimal policy trees with multi-objective Bayesian optimisationcited by 0
- 2024PresAIse, A Prescriptive AI Solution for Enterprisescited by 0
- 2024Applications of 0-1 Neural Networks in Prescription and Predictioncited by 0
- 2024Robust personalized pricing under uncertainty of purchase probabilitiescited by 0
- 2025Prescribe-then-Select: Adaptive Policy Selection for Contextual Stochastic Optimizationcited by 0
- 2025An Interpretable AI Tool for SAVR vs TAVR in Low to Intermediate Risk Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosiscited by 0
- 2025An Interpretable AI Tool for SAVR vs TAVR in Low to Intermediate Risk Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis11 Dec 2025
- 2025Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approach9 Dec 2025
- 2025Adaptive Forests For Classification27 Oct 2025
- 2025Prescribe-then-Select: Adaptive Policy Selection for Contextual Stochastic Optimization9 Sep 2025
- 2024Robust personalized pricing under uncertainty of purchase probabilities22 Jul 2024
- 2024Policy Trees for Prediction: Interpretable and Adaptive Model Selection for Machine Learning30 May 2024
- 2024Applications of 0-1 Neural Networks in Prescription and Prediction29 Feb 2024
- 2024PresAIse, A Prescriptive AI Solution for Enterprises3 Feb 2024
- 2023The R.O.A.D. to precision medicine3 Nov 2023
- 2023Fairness Implications of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation with Machine Learning Methods in Policy-making2 Sep 2023
- 2023ODTlearn: A Package for Learning Optimal Decision Trees for Prediction and Prescription28 Jul 2023
- 2023A Machine Learning Approach to Two-Stage Adaptive Robust Optimization23 Jul 2023
7 more
- 2023Learning Prescriptive ReLU Networks1 Jun 2023
- 2023Reducing Air Pollution through Machine Learning22 Mar 2023
- 2022Policy learning for many outcomes of interest: Combining optimal policy trees with multi-objective Bayesian optimisation13 Dec 2022
- 2022Constrained Prescriptive Trees via Column Generation20 Jul 2022
- 2022Convex Surrogate Loss Functions for Contextual Pricing with Transaction Data16 Feb 2022
- 2021Interpretable Personalized Experimentation5 Nov 2021
- 2021Holistic Deep Learning29 Oct 2021
- 2022Constrained Prescriptive Trees via Column Generationcited by 6
- 2021Interpretable Personalized Experimentationcited by 3
- 2023A Machine Learning Approach to Two-Stage Adaptive Robust Optimizationcited by 3
- 2023ODTlearn: A Package for Learning Optimal Decision Trees for Prediction and Prescriptioncited by 2
- 2023Fairness Implications of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation with Machine Learning Methods in Policy-makingcited by 2
- 2022Convex Surrogate Loss Functions for Contextual Pricing with Transaction Datacited by 1
- 2023Reducing Air Pollution through Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2023Learning Prescriptive ReLU Networkscited by 1
- 2023The R.O.A.D. to precision medicinecited by 1
- 2024Policy Trees for Prediction: Interpretable and Adaptive Model Selection for Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2025Adaptive Forests For Classificationcited by 1
- 2025Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approachcited by 1
12 most cited of 19 All 19 (JSON)
- 2025An Interpretable AI Tool for SAVR vs TAVR in Low to Intermediate Risk Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis11 Dec 2025
- 2025Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approach9 Dec 2025
- 2025Adaptive Forests For Classification27 Oct 2025
- 2025Prescribe-then-Select: Adaptive Policy Selection for Contextual Stochastic Optimization9 Sep 2025
- 2024Robust personalized pricing under uncertainty of purchase probabilities22 Jul 2024
- 2024Policy Trees for Prediction: Interpretable and Adaptive Model Selection for Machine Learning30 May 2024
- 2024Applications of 0-1 Neural Networks in Prescription and Prediction29 Feb 2024
- 2024PresAIse, A Prescriptive AI Solution for Enterprises3 Feb 2024
- 2023The R.O.A.D. to precision medicine3 Nov 2023
- 2023Fairness Implications of Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation with Machine Learning Methods in Policy-making2 Sep 2023
- 2023ODTlearn: A Package for Learning Optimal Decision Trees for Prediction and Prescription28 Jul 2023
- 2023A Machine Learning Approach to Two-Stage Adaptive Robust Optimization23 Jul 2023
12 newest of 19 All 19 (JSON)