Safe planning and control under uncertainty for self-driving
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Abstract (arXiv)
Motion Planning under uncertainty is critical for safe self-driving. In this paper, we propose a unified obstacle avoidance framework that deals with 1) uncertainty in ego-vehicle motion; and 2) prediction uncertainty of dynamic obstacles from environment. A two-stage traffic participant trajectory predictor comprising short-term and long-term prediction is used in the planning layer to generate safe but not over-conservative trajectories for the ego vehicle. The prediction module cooperates well with existing planning approaches. Our work showcases its effectiveness in a Frenet frame planner. A robust controller using tube MPC guarantees safe execution of the trajectory in the presence of state noise and dynamic model uncertainty. A Gaussian process regression model is used for online identification of the uncertainty's bound. We demonstrate effectiveness, safety, and real-time performance of our framework in the CARLA simulator.
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 21 Oct 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 1; 2023: 0; 2024: 1; 2025: 2; 2026: 1.
5 papers.
- 2022Long-Tail Prediction Uncertainty Aware Trajectory Planning for Self-driving Vehiclescited by 22
- 2024Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Vehicle Using Iterative Reward Prediction in Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2025Tube-Based Robust Control Strategy for Vision-Guided Autonomous Vehiclescited by 0
- 2025Robust Planning for Autonomous Driving via Mixed Adversarial Diffusion Predictionscited by 0
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Vision-based Risk Object Identification via Conformal Risk Tube Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Vision-based Risk Object Identification via Conformal Risk Tube Prediction25 Mar 2026
- 2025Robust Planning for Autonomous Driving via Mixed Adversarial Diffusion Predictions18 May 2025
- 2025Tube-Based Robust Control Strategy for Vision-Guided Autonomous Vehicles24 Mar 2025
- 2024Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Vehicle Using Iterative Reward Prediction in Reinforcement Learning18 Apr 2024
- 2022Long-Tail Prediction Uncertainty Aware Trajectory Planning for Self-driving Vehicles2 Jul 2022