Probabilistic Guarantees for Safe Deep Reinforcement Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Deep reinforcement learning has been successfully applied to many control tasks, but the application of such agents in safety-critical scenarios has been limited due to safety concerns. Rigorous testing of these controllers is challenging, particularly when they operate in probabilistic environments due to, for example, hardware faults or noisy sensors. We propose MOSAIC, an algorithm for measuring the safety of deep reinforcement learning agents in stochastic settings. Our approach is based on the iterative construction of a formal abstraction of a controller's execution in an environment, and leverages probabilistic model checking of Markov decision processes to produce probabilistic guarantees on safe behaviour over a finite time horizon. It produces bounds on the probability of safe operation of the controller for different initial configurations and identifies regions where correct behaviour can be guaranteed. We implement and evaluate our approach on agents trained for several benchmark control problems.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 14 May 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 5; 2022: 2; 2023: 2; 2024: 2; 2025: 0; 2026: 4.
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- 2021How to Certify Machine Learning Based Safety-critical Systems? A Systematic Literature Reviewcited by 36
- 2021Distillation of RL Policies with Formal Guarantees via Variational Abstraction of Markov Decision Processes (Technical Report)cited by 9
- 2021Certification of Iterative Predictions in Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 8
- 2022Verified Probabilistic Policies for Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2024Unifying Qualitative and Quantitative Safety Verification of DNN-Controlled Systemscited by 6
- 2024Probabilistic Model Checking of Stochastic Reinforcement Learning Policiescited by 5
- 2023Probabilistic Reach-Avoid for Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 4
- 2021Learning on Abstract Domains: A New Approach for Verifiable Guarantee in Reinforcement Learningcited by 3
- 2021Cooperation for Scalable Supervision of Autonomy in Mixed Trafficcited by 3
- 2022Taming Reachability Analysis of DNN-Controlled Systems via Abstraction-Based Trainingcited by 0
- 2023Wasserstein Auto-encoded MDPs: Formal Verification of Efficiently Distilled RL Policies with Many-sided Guaranteescited by 0
- 2026COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Platelet Inventory Managementcited by 0
3 more
- 2026Probabilistic Model Checking of Autoregressive Neural Sequence Models1 Sep 2026
- 2026Scenario Generation for Risk-Aware Reinforcement Learning with Probably Approximately Safe Guarantees3 Jun 2026
- 2026COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Multi-bridge Network Maintenance8 Mar 2026
- 2026COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Platelet Inventory Management2 Mar 2026
- 2024Unifying Qualitative and Quantitative Safety Verification of DNN-Controlled Systems2 Apr 2024
- 2024Probabilistic Model Checking of Stochastic Reinforcement Learning Policies27 Mar 2024
- 2023Probabilistic Reach-Avoid for Bayesian Neural Networks3 Oct 2023
- 2023Wasserstein Auto-encoded MDPs: Formal Verification of Efficiently Distilled RL Policies with Many-sided Guarantees22 Mar 2023
- 2022Taming Reachability Analysis of DNN-Controlled Systems via Abstraction-Based Training21 Nov 2022
- 2022Verified Probabilistic Policies for Deep Reinforcement Learning10 Jan 2022
- 2021Distillation of RL Policies with Formal Guarantees via Variational Abstraction of Markov Decision Processes (Technical Report)17 Dec 2021
- 2021Cooperation for Scalable Supervision of Autonomy in Mixed Traffic14 Dec 2021
3 more
- 2021How to Certify Machine Learning Based Safety-critical Systems? A Systematic Literature Reviewcited by 36
- 2021Distillation of RL Policies with Formal Guarantees via Variational Abstraction of Markov Decision Processes (Technical Report)cited by 9
- 2021Certification of Iterative Predictions in Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 8
- 2022Verified Probabilistic Policies for Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2024Unifying Qualitative and Quantitative Safety Verification of DNN-Controlled Systemscited by 6
- 2024Probabilistic Model Checking of Stochastic Reinforcement Learning Policiescited by 5
- 2023Probabilistic Reach-Avoid for Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 4
- 2021Learning on Abstract Domains: A New Approach for Verifiable Guarantee in Reinforcement Learningcited by 3
- 2021Cooperation for Scalable Supervision of Autonomy in Mixed Trafficcited by 3
- 2022Taming Reachability Analysis of DNN-Controlled Systems via Abstraction-Based Trainingcited by 0
- 2023Wasserstein Auto-encoded MDPs: Formal Verification of Efficiently Distilled RL Policies with Many-sided Guaranteescited by 0
- 2026COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Platelet Inventory Managementcited by 0
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026Probabilistic Model Checking of Autoregressive Neural Sequence Models1 Sep 2026
- 2026Scenario Generation for Risk-Aware Reinforcement Learning with Probably Approximately Safe Guarantees3 Jun 2026
- 2026COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Multi-bridge Network Maintenance8 Mar 2026
- 2026COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Platelet Inventory Management2 Mar 2026
- 2024Unifying Qualitative and Quantitative Safety Verification of DNN-Controlled Systems2 Apr 2024
- 2024Probabilistic Model Checking of Stochastic Reinforcement Learning Policies27 Mar 2024
- 2023Probabilistic Reach-Avoid for Bayesian Neural Networks3 Oct 2023
- 2023Wasserstein Auto-encoded MDPs: Formal Verification of Efficiently Distilled RL Policies with Many-sided Guarantees22 Mar 2023
- 2022Taming Reachability Analysis of DNN-Controlled Systems via Abstraction-Based Training21 Nov 2022
- 2022Verified Probabilistic Policies for Deep Reinforcement Learning10 Jan 2022
- 2021Distillation of RL Policies with Formal Guarantees via Variational Abstraction of Markov Decision Processes (Technical Report)17 Dec 2021
- 2021Cooperation for Scalable Supervision of Autonomy in Mixed Traffic14 Dec 2021
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)