Scalable Autonomous Vehicle Safety Validation through Dynamic Programming and Scene Decomposition
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Abstract (arXiv)
An open question in autonomous driving is how best to use simulation to validate the safety of autonomous vehicles. Existing techniques rely on simulated rollouts, which can be inefficient for finding rare failure events, while other techniques are designed to only discover a single failure. In this work, we present a new safety validation approach that attempts to estimate the distribution over failures of an autonomous policy using approximate dynamic programming. Knowledge of this distribution allows for the efficient discovery of many failure examples. To address the problem of scalability, we decompose complex driving scenarios into subproblems consisting of only the ego vehicle and one other vehicle. These subproblems can be solved with approximate dynamic programming and their solutions are recombined to approximate the solution to the full scenario. We apply our approach to a simple two-vehicle scenario to demonstrate the technique as well as a more complex five-vehicle scenario to demonstrate scalability. In both experiments, we observed an increase in the number of failures discovered compared to baseline approaches.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 14 Apr 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 2; 2023: 1; 2024: 1; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
8 papers.
- 2022Testing Rare Downstream Safety Violations via Upstream Adaptive Sampling of Perception Error Modelscited by 7
- 2021Intersection focused Situation Coverage-based Verification and Validation Framework for Autonomous Vehicles Implemented in CARLAcited by 4
- 2023Model-based Validation as Probabilistic Inferencecited by 3
- 2025Large Foundation Models for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 3
- 2021Scalable Safety-Critical Policy Evaluation with Accelerated Rare Event Samplingcited by 2
- 2022A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach to Rare Event Estimationcited by 2
- 2024Adaptive Splitting of Reusable Temporal Monitors for Rare Traffic Violationscited by 0
- 2026Coverage Aware Active Evaluation for Failure Discovery with Paired Systemscited by 0
- 2026Coverage Aware Active Evaluation for Failure Discovery with Paired Systems13 Aug 2026
- 2025Large Foundation Models for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving: A Comprehensive Survey11 Sep 2025
- 2024Adaptive Splitting of Reusable Temporal Monitors for Rare Traffic Violations13 Mar 2024
- 2023Model-based Validation as Probabilistic Inference17 May 2023
- 2022A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach to Rare Event Estimation22 Nov 2022
- 2022Testing Rare Downstream Safety Violations via Upstream Adaptive Sampling of Perception Error Models20 Sep 2022
- 2021Intersection focused Situation Coverage-based Verification and Validation Framework for Autonomous Vehicles Implemented in CARLA24 Dec 2021
- 2021Scalable Safety-Critical Policy Evaluation with Accelerated Rare Event Sampling19 Jun 2021