Counterexamples to "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" by Wang and Blei
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Abstract (arXiv)
This note has been updated (April, 2020) to respond to "Towards Clarifying the Theory of the Deconfounder" by Yixin Wang, David M. Blei (arXiv:2003.04948). This original note, posted in January, 2020, is meant to complement our previous comment on "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" by Wang and Blei (2019). We provide a more succinct and transparent explanation of the fact that the deconfounder does not control for multi-cause confounding. The argument given in Wang and Blei (2019) makes two mistakes: (1) attempting to infer independence conditional on one variable from independence conditional on a different, unrelated variable, and (2) attempting to infer joint independence from pairwise independence. We give two simple counterexamples to the deconfounder claim.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 17 Jan 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 1; 2023: 2; 2024: 3; 2025: 0; 2026: 2.
8 papers.
- 2023Estimating Treatment Effects from Irregular Time Series Observations with Hidden Confounderscited by 17
- 2023Why Do Probabilistic Clinical Models Fail To Transport Between Sites?cited by 9
- 2022Estimating Social Influence from Observational Datacited by 5
- 2024Two-way Deconfounder for Off-policy Evaluation in Causal Reinforcement Learningcited by 5
- 2024Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiabilitycited by 3
- 2026Causal Inference with Categorical Unobserved Confounder via Mixture Learningcited by 2
- 2024Substitute adjustment via recovery of latent variablescited by 1
- 2026The Spectral Structure of Latent Treatment Effectscited by 0
- 2026The Spectral Structure of Latent Treatment Effects12 Jul 2026
- 2026Causal Inference with Categorical Unobserved Confounder via Mixture Learning18 May 2026
- 2024Two-way Deconfounder for Off-policy Evaluation in Causal Reinforcement Learning8 Dec 2024
- 2024Synthetic Potential Outcomes and Causal Mixture Identifiability29 May 2024
- 2024Substitute adjustment via recovery of latent variables1 Mar 2024
- 2023Why Do Probabilistic Clinical Models Fail To Transport Between Sites?8 Nov 2023
- 2023Estimating Treatment Effects from Irregular Time Series Observations with Hidden Confounders4 Mar 2023
- 2022Estimating Social Influence from Observational Data24 Mar 2022