The Windfall Clause: Distributing the Benefits of AI for the Common Good
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Abstract (arXiv)
As the transformative potential of AI has become increasingly salient as a matter of public and political interest, there has been growing discussion about the need to ensure that AI broadly benefits humanity. This in turn has spurred debate on the social responsibilities of large technology companies to serve the interests of society at large. In response, ethical principles and codes of conduct have been proposed to meet the escalating demand for this responsibility to be taken seriously. As yet, however, few institutional innovations have been suggested to translate this responsibility into legal commitments which apply to companies positioned to reap large financial gains from the development and use of AI. This paper offers one potentially attractive tool for addressing such issues: the Windfall Clause, which is an ex ante commitment by AI firms to donate a significant amount of any eventual extremely large profits. By this we mean an early commitment that profits that a firm could not earn without achieving fundamental, economically transformative breakthroughs in AI capabilities will be donated to benefit humanity broadly, with particular attention towards mitigating any downsides from deployment of windfall-generating AI.
Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 25 Dec 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 1; 2023: 4; 2024: 2; 2025: 2; 2026: 2.
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- 2023Open Problems and Fundamental Limitations of Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedbackcited by 743
- 2023Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectivescited by 31
- 2023Democratising AI: Multiple Meanings, Goals, and Methodscited by 29
- 2021Voluntary safety commitments provide an escape from over-regulation in AI developmentcited by 10
- 2026Social physics in the age of artificial intelligencecited by 4
- 2024Evolutionary mechanisms that promote cooperation may not promote social welfarecited by 3
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Actioncited by 3
- 2023Both eyes open: Vigilant Incentives help Regulatory Markets improve AI Safetycited by 2
- 2024AI Royalties -- an IP Framework to Compensate Artists & IP Holders for AI-Generated Contentcited by 2
- 2022Understanding Emergent Behaviours in Multi-Agent Systems with Evolutionary Game Theorycited by 1
- 2021Safe Transformative AI via a Windfall Clausecited by 0
- 2025When Do AI Gains Become Broadly Shareable? A Policy Threshold for AI-Driven Automationcited by 0
- 2026Growth Without Us: Machine Consumers, Corporate Circularity, and the Decoupling of GDP from Humanity after AGI20 Aug 2026
- 2026Social physics in the age of artificial intelligence4 Mar 2026
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Action28 Aug 2025
- 2025When Do AI Gains Become Broadly Shareable? A Policy Threshold for AI-Driven Automation24 May 2025
- 2024Evolutionary mechanisms that promote cooperation may not promote social welfare9 Aug 2024
- 2024AI Royalties -- an IP Framework to Compensate Artists & IP Holders for AI-Generated Content5 Apr 2024
- 2023Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives29 Sep 2023
- 2023Open Problems and Fundamental Limitations of Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback27 Jul 2023
- 2023Democratising AI: Multiple Meanings, Goals, and Methods22 Mar 2023
- 2023Both eyes open: Vigilant Incentives help Regulatory Markets improve AI Safety6 Mar 2023
- 2022Understanding Emergent Behaviours in Multi-Agent Systems with Evolutionary Game Theory15 May 2022
- 2021Safe Transformative AI via a Windfall Clause20 Aug 2021
- 2023Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectivescited by 31
- 2023Democratising AI: Multiple Meanings, Goals, and Methodscited by 29
- 2021Voluntary safety commitments provide an escape from over-regulation in AI developmentcited by 10
- 2026Social physics in the age of artificial intelligencecited by 4
- 2024Evolutionary mechanisms that promote cooperation may not promote social welfarecited by 3
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Actioncited by 3
- 2023Both eyes open: Vigilant Incentives help Regulatory Markets improve AI Safetycited by 2
- 2024AI Royalties -- an IP Framework to Compensate Artists & IP Holders for AI-Generated Contentcited by 2
- 2022Understanding Emergent Behaviours in Multi-Agent Systems with Evolutionary Game Theorycited by 1
- 2021Safe Transformative AI via a Windfall Clausecited by 0
- 2025When Do AI Gains Become Broadly Shareable? A Policy Threshold for AI-Driven Automationcited by 0
- 2026Growth Without Us: Machine Consumers, Corporate Circularity, and the Decoupling of GDP from Humanity after AGIcited by 0
- 2026Growth Without Us: Machine Consumers, Corporate Circularity, and the Decoupling of GDP from Humanity after AGI20 Aug 2026
- 2026Social physics in the age of artificial intelligence4 Mar 2026
- 2025Embodied AI: Emerging Risks and Opportunities for Policy Action28 Aug 2025
- 2025When Do AI Gains Become Broadly Shareable? A Policy Threshold for AI-Driven Automation24 May 2025
- 2024Evolutionary mechanisms that promote cooperation may not promote social welfare9 Aug 2024
- 2024AI Royalties -- an IP Framework to Compensate Artists & IP Holders for AI-Generated Content5 Apr 2024
- 2023Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives29 Sep 2023
- 2023Democratising AI: Multiple Meanings, Goals, and Methods22 Mar 2023
- 2023Both eyes open: Vigilant Incentives help Regulatory Markets improve AI Safety6 Mar 2023
- 2022Understanding Emergent Behaviours in Multi-Agent Systems with Evolutionary Game Theory15 May 2022
- 2021Safe Transformative AI via a Windfall Clause20 Aug 2021
- 2021Voluntary safety commitments provide an escape from over-regulation in AI development8 Apr 2021