mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Multi-stream Data Analytics for Enhanced Performance Prediction in Fantasy Football

arXiv 1912.07441 ↗First posted 16 Dec 2019cs.LG stat.MLcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) performance predictors tend to base their algorithms purely on historical statistical data. The main problems with this approach is that external factors such as injuries, managerial decisions and other tournament match statistics can never be factored into the final predictions. In this paper, we present a new method for predicting future player performances by automatically incorporating human feedback into our model. Through statistical data analysis such as previous performances, upcoming fixture difficulty ratings, betting market analysis, opinions of the general-public and experts alike via social media and web articles, we can improve our understanding of who is likely to perform well in upcoming matches. When tested on the English Premier League 2018/19 season, the model outperformed regular statistical predictors by over 300 points, an average of 11 points per week, ranking within the top 0.5% of players rank 30,000 out of over 6.5 million players.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 16 Dec 2019.

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