Prediction with Expert Advice: a PDE Perspective
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Abstract (arXiv)
This work addresses a classic problem of online prediction with expert advice. We assume an adversarial opponent, and we consider both the finite-horizon and random-stopping versions of this zero-sum, two-person game. Focusing on an appropriate continuum limit and using methods from optimal control, we characterize the value of the game as the viscosity solution of a certain nonlinear partial differential equation. The analysis also reveals the predictor's and the opponent's minimax optimal strategies. Our work provides, in particular, a continuum perspective on recent work of Gravin, Peres, and Sivan (Proc SODA 2016). Our techniques are similar to those of Kohn and Serfaty (Comm Pure Appl Math 2010), where scaling limits of some two-person games led to elliptic or parabolic PDEs.
Key facts. Cited by 16 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 25 Apr 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 7; 2023: 2; 2024: 2; 2025: 1; 2026: 3.
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- 2022PDE-Based Optimal Strategy for Unconstrained Online Learningcited by 27
- 2021Online Minimax Multiobjective Optimization: Multicalibeating and Other Applicationscited by 26
- 2024Discounted Adaptive Online Learning: Towards Better Regularizationcited by 12
- 2023Unconstrained Dynamic Regret via Sparse Codingcited by 11
- 2022Optimal Comparator Adaptive Online Learning with Switching Costcited by 9
- 2023Improving Adaptive Online Learning Using Refined Discretizationcited by 8
- 2022Continuous Prediction with Experts' Advicecited by 7
- 2022A PDE-Based Analysis of the Symmetric Two-Armed Bernoulli Banditcited by 3
- 2022A New Approach to Drifting Games, Based on Asymptotically Optimal Potentialscited by 2
- 2024Numerical solution of a PDE arising from prediction with expert advicecited by 2
- 2022Optimal Tracking in Prediction with Expert Advicecited by 1
- 2026An explicit solution of the five-expert prediction PDE and the exact optimality set of COMBcited by 1
4 more
- 2026Prediction with Expert Advice: Anytime Regret with Many Experts Matches the Fixed-Time Constantcited by 1
- 2022A PDE approach for regret bounds under partial monitoringcited by 0
- 2025Reasoning without Regretcited by 0
- 2026Operationalizing Stein's Method for Online Linear Optimization: CLT-Based Optimal Tradeoffscited by 0
- 2026Prediction with Expert Advice: Anytime Regret with Many Experts Matches the Fixed-Time Constant23 Sep 2026
- 2026An explicit solution of the five-expert prediction PDE and the exact optimality set of COMB14 Sep 2026
- 2026Operationalizing Stein's Method for Online Linear Optimization: CLT-Based Optimal Tradeoffs6 Feb 2026
- 2025Reasoning without Regret14 Apr 2025
- 2024Numerical solution of a PDE arising from prediction with expert advice9 Jun 2024
- 2024Discounted Adaptive Online Learning: Towards Better Regularization5 Feb 2024
- 2023Improving Adaptive Online Learning Using Refined Discretization27 Sep 2023
- 2023Unconstrained Dynamic Regret via Sparse Coding31 Jan 2023
- 2022A PDE approach for regret bounds under partial monitoring2 Sep 2022
- 2022Optimal Tracking in Prediction with Expert Advice7 Aug 2022
- 2022A New Approach to Drifting Games, Based on Asymptotically Optimal Potentials23 Jul 2022
- 2022Continuous Prediction with Experts' Advice1 Jun 2022
4 more
- 2022Optimal Comparator Adaptive Online Learning with Switching Cost13 May 2022
- 2022A PDE-Based Analysis of the Symmetric Two-Armed Bernoulli Bandit11 Feb 2022
- 2022PDE-Based Optimal Strategy for Unconstrained Online Learning19 Jan 2022
- 2021Online Minimax Multiobjective Optimization: Multicalibeating and Other Applications9 Aug 2021
- 2025Reasoning without Regretcited by 0
- 2025Reasoning without Regret14 Apr 2025
- 2022PDE-Based Optimal Strategy for Unconstrained Online Learningcited by 27
- 2021Online Minimax Multiobjective Optimization: Multicalibeating and Other Applicationscited by 26
- 2024Discounted Adaptive Online Learning: Towards Better Regularizationcited by 12
- 2023Unconstrained Dynamic Regret via Sparse Codingcited by 11
- 2022Optimal Comparator Adaptive Online Learning with Switching Costcited by 9
- 2023Improving Adaptive Online Learning Using Refined Discretizationcited by 8
- 2022Continuous Prediction with Experts' Advicecited by 7
- 2022A PDE-Based Analysis of the Symmetric Two-Armed Bernoulli Banditcited by 3
- 2022A New Approach to Drifting Games, Based on Asymptotically Optimal Potentialscited by 2
- 2024Numerical solution of a PDE arising from prediction with expert advicecited by 2
- 2022Optimal Tracking in Prediction with Expert Advicecited by 1
- 2026An explicit solution of the five-expert prediction PDE and the exact optimality set of COMBcited by 1
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026Prediction with Expert Advice: Anytime Regret with Many Experts Matches the Fixed-Time Constant23 Sep 2026
- 2026An explicit solution of the five-expert prediction PDE and the exact optimality set of COMB14 Sep 2026
- 2026Operationalizing Stein's Method for Online Linear Optimization: CLT-Based Optimal Tradeoffs6 Feb 2026
- 2024Numerical solution of a PDE arising from prediction with expert advice9 Jun 2024
- 2024Discounted Adaptive Online Learning: Towards Better Regularization5 Feb 2024
- 2023Improving Adaptive Online Learning Using Refined Discretization27 Sep 2023
- 2023Unconstrained Dynamic Regret via Sparse Coding31 Jan 2023
- 2022A PDE approach for regret bounds under partial monitoring2 Sep 2022
- 2022Optimal Tracking in Prediction with Expert Advice7 Aug 2022
- 2022A New Approach to Drifting Games, Based on Asymptotically Optimal Potentials23 Jul 2022
- 2022Continuous Prediction with Experts' Advice1 Jun 2022
- 2022Optimal Comparator Adaptive Online Learning with Switching Cost13 May 2022
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)