A Modern Retrospective on Probabilistic Numerics
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Abstract (arXiv)
This article attempts to place the emergence of probabilistic numerics as a mathematical-statistical research field within its historical context and to explore how its gradual development can be related both to applications and to a modern formal treatment. We highlight in particular the parallel contributions of Sul'din and Larkin in the 1960s and how their pioneering early ideas have reached a degree of maturity in the intervening period, mediated by paradigms such as average-case analysis and information-based complexity. We provide a subjective assessment of the state of research in probabilistic numerics and highlight some difficulties to be addressed by future works.
Key facts. Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 14 Jan 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 4; 2022: 3; 2023: 4; 2024: 3; 2025: 1; 2026: 3.
18 papers.
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- 2024Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AIcited by 62
- 2022Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression Generalizes Linear PDE Solverscited by 41
- 2022Posterior and Computational Uncertainty in Gaussian Processescited by 24
- 2021Bayesian Numerical Methods for Nonlinear Partial Differential Equationscited by 15
- 2022Fenrir: Physics-Enhanced Regression for Initial Value Problemscited by 11
- 2021ProbNum: Probabilistic Numerics in Pythoncited by 10
- 2024Conditional Bayesian Quadraturecited by 9
- 2021Pick-and-Mix Information Operators for Probabilistic ODE Solverscited by 6
- 2023Probabilistic Exponential Integratorscited by 4
- 2023Bayesian Numerical Integration with Neural Networkscited by 3
- 2023Parallel-in-Time Probabilistic Numerical ODE Solverscited by 3
- 2024Towards Gaussian Process for operator learning: an uncertainty aware resolution independent operator learning algorithm for computational mechanicscited by 3
6 more
- 2023Accelerating Non-Conjugate Gaussian Processes By Trading Off Computation For Uncertaintycited by 2
- 2026Bayesian Quadraturecited by 1
- 2021Black Box Probabilistic Numericscited by 0
- 2025Learning Geometric-Aware Quadrature Rules for Functional Minimizationcited by 0
- 2026Machine learning assisted state prediction of misspecified linear dynamical system via modal reductioncited by 0
- 2026Stable and Scalable Probabilistic Numerical Solvers for Stiff and High-Dimensional ODEscited by 0
- 2026Stable and Scalable Probabilistic Numerical Solvers for Stiff and High-Dimensional ODEs6 Jun 2026
- 2026Bayesian Quadrature18 Feb 2026
- 2026Machine learning assisted state prediction of misspecified linear dynamical system via modal reduction8 Jan 2026
- 2025Learning Geometric-Aware Quadrature Rules for Functional Minimization7 Aug 2025
- 2024Towards Gaussian Process for operator learning: an uncertainty aware resolution independent operator learning algorithm for computational mechanics17 Sep 2024
- 2024Conditional Bayesian Quadrature24 Jun 2024
- 2024Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AI1 Feb 2024
- 2023Accelerating Non-Conjugate Gaussian Processes By Trading Off Computation For Uncertainty31 Oct 2023
- 2023Parallel-in-Time Probabilistic Numerical ODE Solvers2 Oct 2023
- 2023Probabilistic Exponential Integrators24 May 2023
- 2023Bayesian Numerical Integration with Neural Networks22 May 2023
- 2022Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression Generalizes Linear PDE Solvers23 Dec 2022
6 more
- 2022Posterior and Computational Uncertainty in Gaussian Processes30 May 2022
- 2022Fenrir: Physics-Enhanced Regression for Initial Value Problems2 Feb 2022
- 2021ProbNum: Probabilistic Numerics in Python3 Dec 2021
- 2021Pick-and-Mix Information Operators for Probabilistic ODE Solvers20 Oct 2021
- 2021Black Box Probabilistic Numerics15 Jun 2021
- 2021Bayesian Numerical Methods for Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations22 Apr 2021
- 2024Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AIcited by 62
- 2022Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression Generalizes Linear PDE Solverscited by 41
- 2022Posterior and Computational Uncertainty in Gaussian Processescited by 24
- 2021Bayesian Numerical Methods for Nonlinear Partial Differential Equationscited by 15
- 2022Fenrir: Physics-Enhanced Regression for Initial Value Problemscited by 11
- 2021ProbNum: Probabilistic Numerics in Pythoncited by 10
- 2024Conditional Bayesian Quadraturecited by 9
- 2021Pick-and-Mix Information Operators for Probabilistic ODE Solverscited by 6
- 2023Probabilistic Exponential Integratorscited by 4
- 2023Bayesian Numerical Integration with Neural Networkscited by 3
- 2023Parallel-in-Time Probabilistic Numerical ODE Solverscited by 3
- 2024Towards Gaussian Process for operator learning: an uncertainty aware resolution independent operator learning algorithm for computational mechanicscited by 3
12 most cited of 18 All 18 (JSON)
- 2026Stable and Scalable Probabilistic Numerical Solvers for Stiff and High-Dimensional ODEs6 Jun 2026
- 2026Bayesian Quadrature18 Feb 2026
- 2026Machine learning assisted state prediction of misspecified linear dynamical system via modal reduction8 Jan 2026
- 2025Learning Geometric-Aware Quadrature Rules for Functional Minimization7 Aug 2025
- 2024Towards Gaussian Process for operator learning: an uncertainty aware resolution independent operator learning algorithm for computational mechanics17 Sep 2024
- 2024Conditional Bayesian Quadrature24 Jun 2024
- 2024Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AI1 Feb 2024
- 2023Accelerating Non-Conjugate Gaussian Processes By Trading Off Computation For Uncertainty31 Oct 2023
- 2023Parallel-in-Time Probabilistic Numerical ODE Solvers2 Oct 2023
- 2023Probabilistic Exponential Integrators24 May 2023
- 2023Bayesian Numerical Integration with Neural Networks22 May 2023
- 2022Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression Generalizes Linear PDE Solvers23 Dec 2022
12 newest of 18 All 18 (JSON)