mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Simple Confidence Intervals for MCMC Without CLTs

arXiv 1812.00126 ↗First posted 1 Dec 2018stat.ME math.PRcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

This short note argues that 95% confidence intervals for MCMC estimates can be obtained even without establishing a CLT, by multiplying their widths by 2.3.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Dec 2018.

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Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 0; 2025: 0; 2026: 1.

2 papers.

  1. 2026Rare Event Analysis of Large Language Modelscited by 8
  2. 2023Estimating optimal PAC-Bayes bounds with Hamiltonian Monte Carlocited by 1