Voronoi Partition-based Scenario Reduction for Fast Sampling-based Stochastic Reachability Computation of LTI Systems

In this paper, we address the stochastic reach-avoid problem for linear systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. We seek to compute the maximum probability that the states remain in a safe set over a finite time horizon and reach a target set at the final time. We employ sampling-based methods and provide a lower bound on the number of scenarios required to guarantee that our estimate provides an underapproximation. Due to the probabilistic nature of the sampling-based methods, our underapproximation guarantee is probabilistic, and the proposed lower bound can be used to satisfy a prescribed probabilistic confidence level. To decrease the computational complexity, we propose a Voronoi partition-based to check the reach-avoid constraints at representative partitions (cells), instead of the original scenarios. The state constraints arising from the safe and target sets are tightened appropriately so that the solution provides an underapproximation for the original sampling-based method. We propose a systematic approach for selecting these representative cells and provide the flexibility to trade-off the number of cells needed for accuracy with the computational cost.