Uncertainty-Aware Learning from Demonstration using Mixture Density Networks with Sampling-Free Variance Modeling
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Abstract (arXiv)
In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-aware learning from demonstration method by presenting a novel uncertainty estimation method utilizing a mixture density network appropriate for modeling complex and noisy human behaviors. The proposed uncertainty acquisition can be done with a single forward path without Monte Carlo sampling and is suitable for real-time robotics applications. The properties of the proposed uncertainty measure are analyzed through three different synthetic examples, absence of data, heavy measurement noise, and composition of functions scenarios. We show that each case can be distinguished using the proposed uncertainty measure and presented an uncertainty-aware learn- ing from demonstration method of an autonomous driving using this property. The proposed uncertainty-aware learning from demonstration method outperforms other compared methods in terms of safety using a complex real-world driving dataset.
Key facts. Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 3 Sep 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2019: 1; 2020: 1; 2021: 8; 2022: 2; 2023: 3; 2024: 5; 2025: 4; 2026: 1.
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- 2021Active Learning for Deep Object Detection via Probabilistic Modelingcited by 79
- 2021A Survey of Deep RL and IL for Autonomous Driving Policy Learningcited by 59
- 2023Unbiased Scene Graph Generation in Videoscited by 38
- 2019Uncertainty-Aware Imitation Learning using Kernelized Movement Primitivescited by 11
- 2021Learning Uncertainty For Safety-Oriented Semantic Segmentation In Autonomous Drivingcited by 8
- 2025Beyond Confidence: Adaptive Abstention in Dual-Threshold Conformal Prediction for Autonomous System Perceptioncited by 6
- 2020Learn by Observation: Imitation Learning for Drone Patrolling from Videos of A Human Navigatorcited by 5
- 2022SOTIF Entropy: Online SOTIF Risk Quantification and Mitigation for Autonomous Drivingcited by 5
- 2024Enhancing Uncertainty Quantification in Drug Discovery with Censored Regression Labelscited by 5
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Autonomous Vehicles: Predicting the Road Aheadcited by 5
- 2021Adversarial Mixture Density Networks: Learning to Drive Safely from Collision Datacited by 4
- 2021Learning to Predict Diverse Human Motions from a Single Image via Mixture Density Networkscited by 3
13 more
- 2021Estimating Uncertainty For Vehicle Motion Prediction on Yandex Shifts Datasetcited by 3
- 2023Anticipatory Planning: Improving Long-Lived Planning by Estimating Expected Cost of Future Taskscited by 2
- 2023Sampling-based Uncertainty Estimation for an Instance Segmentation Networkcited by 2
- 2021Towards Defensive Autonomous Driving: Collecting and Probing Driving Demonstrations of Mixed Qualitiescited by 1
- 2021Semi-Supervised Imitation Learning with Mixed Qualities of Demonstrations for Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2022Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Speech Enhancement Using Complex Gaussian Mixture Modelscited by 1
- 2024Robust Calibration For Improved Weather Prediction Under Distributional Shiftcited by 0
- 2024Double-Shot 3D Shape Measurement with a Dual-Branch Network for Structured Light Projection Profilometrycited by 0
- 2024Off the Normal Path: Learning Spatial Density Models of Node Mobilitycited by 0
- 2024TSceneJAL: Joint Active Learning of Traffic Scenes for 3D Object Detectioncited by 0
- 2025Adaptive Individual Uncertainty under Out-Of-Distribution Shift with Expert-Routed Conformal Predictioncited by 0
- 2025Where to Measure: Epistemic Uncertainty-Based Sensor Placement with ConvCNPscited by 0
- 2026Taming Perception Jitter: Uncertainty-Aware LiDAR Object Detection for Reliable Motion Classificationcited by 0
- 2026Taming Perception Jitter: Uncertainty-Aware LiDAR Object Detection for Reliable Motion Classification8 Jun 2026
- 2025Where to Measure: Epistemic Uncertainty-Based Sensor Placement with ConvCNPs27 Nov 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Autonomous Vehicles: Predicting the Road Ahead26 Oct 2025
- 2025Adaptive Individual Uncertainty under Out-Of-Distribution Shift with Expert-Routed Conformal Prediction17 Oct 2025
- 2025Beyond Confidence: Adaptive Abstention in Dual-Threshold Conformal Prediction for Autonomous System Perception11 Feb 2025
- 2024TSceneJAL: Joint Active Learning of Traffic Scenes for 3D Object Detection25 Dec 2024
- 2024Off the Normal Path: Learning Spatial Density Models of Node Mobility17 Nov 2024
- 2024Enhancing Uncertainty Quantification in Drug Discovery with Censored Regression Labels6 Sep 2024
- 2024Double-Shot 3D Shape Measurement with a Dual-Branch Network for Structured Light Projection Profilometry19 Jul 2024
- 2024Robust Calibration For Improved Weather Prediction Under Distributional Shift8 Jan 2024
- 2023Sampling-based Uncertainty Estimation for an Instance Segmentation Network24 May 2023
- 2023Anticipatory Planning: Improving Long-Lived Planning by Estimating Expected Cost of Future Tasks8 May 2023
13 more
- 2023Unbiased Scene Graph Generation in Videos3 Apr 2023
- 2022Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Speech Enhancement Using Complex Gaussian Mixture Models9 Dec 2022
- 2022SOTIF Entropy: Online SOTIF Risk Quantification and Mitigation for Autonomous Driving8 Nov 2022
- 2021Estimating Uncertainty For Vehicle Motion Prediction on Yandex Shifts Dataset15 Dec 2021
- 2021Semi-Supervised Imitation Learning with Mixed Qualities of Demonstrations for Autonomous Driving23 Sep 2021
- 2021Towards Defensive Autonomous Driving: Collecting and Probing Driving Demonstrations of Mixed Qualities16 Sep 2021
- 2021Learning to Predict Diverse Human Motions from a Single Image via Mixture Density Networks13 Sep 2021
- 2021Adversarial Mixture Density Networks: Learning to Drive Safely from Collision Data9 Jul 2021
- 2021Learning Uncertainty For Safety-Oriented Semantic Segmentation In Autonomous Driving28 May 2021
- 2021Active Learning for Deep Object Detection via Probabilistic Modeling30 Mar 2021
- 2021A Survey of Deep RL and IL for Autonomous Driving Policy Learning6 Jan 2021
- 2020Learn by Observation: Imitation Learning for Drone Patrolling from Videos of A Human Navigator30 Aug 2020
- 2019Uncertainty-Aware Imitation Learning using Kernelized Movement Primitives5 Mar 2019
- 2021A Survey of Deep RL and IL for Autonomous Driving Policy Learningcited by 59
- 2021Towards Defensive Autonomous Driving: Collecting and Probing Driving Demonstrations of Mixed Qualitiescited by 1
- 2021Semi-Supervised Imitation Learning with Mixed Qualities of Demonstrations for Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2021Semi-Supervised Imitation Learning with Mixed Qualities of Demonstrations for Autonomous Driving23 Sep 2021
- 2021Towards Defensive Autonomous Driving: Collecting and Probing Driving Demonstrations of Mixed Qualities16 Sep 2021
- 2021A Survey of Deep RL and IL for Autonomous Driving Policy Learning6 Jan 2021
- 2021Active Learning for Deep Object Detection via Probabilistic Modelingcited by 79
- 2023Unbiased Scene Graph Generation in Videoscited by 38
- 2021Learning Uncertainty For Safety-Oriented Semantic Segmentation In Autonomous Drivingcited by 8
- 2025Beyond Confidence: Adaptive Abstention in Dual-Threshold Conformal Prediction for Autonomous System Perceptioncited by 6
- 2022SOTIF Entropy: Online SOTIF Risk Quantification and Mitigation for Autonomous Drivingcited by 5
- 2024Enhancing Uncertainty Quantification in Drug Discovery with Censored Regression Labelscited by 5
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Autonomous Vehicles: Predicting the Road Aheadcited by 5
- 2021Learning to Predict Diverse Human Motions from a Single Image via Mixture Density Networkscited by 3
- 2021Estimating Uncertainty For Vehicle Motion Prediction on Yandex Shifts Datasetcited by 3
- 2023Anticipatory Planning: Improving Long-Lived Planning by Estimating Expected Cost of Future Taskscited by 2
- 2023Sampling-based Uncertainty Estimation for an Instance Segmentation Networkcited by 2
- 2022Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Speech Enhancement Using Complex Gaussian Mixture Modelscited by 1
12 most cited of 19 All 19 (JSON)
- 2026Taming Perception Jitter: Uncertainty-Aware LiDAR Object Detection for Reliable Motion Classification8 Jun 2026
- 2025Where to Measure: Epistemic Uncertainty-Based Sensor Placement with ConvCNPs27 Nov 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Autonomous Vehicles: Predicting the Road Ahead26 Oct 2025
- 2025Adaptive Individual Uncertainty under Out-Of-Distribution Shift with Expert-Routed Conformal Prediction17 Oct 2025
- 2025Beyond Confidence: Adaptive Abstention in Dual-Threshold Conformal Prediction for Autonomous System Perception11 Feb 2025
- 2024TSceneJAL: Joint Active Learning of Traffic Scenes for 3D Object Detection25 Dec 2024
- 2024Off the Normal Path: Learning Spatial Density Models of Node Mobility17 Nov 2024
- 2024Enhancing Uncertainty Quantification in Drug Discovery with Censored Regression Labels6 Sep 2024
- 2024Double-Shot 3D Shape Measurement with a Dual-Branch Network for Structured Light Projection Profilometry19 Jul 2024
- 2024Robust Calibration For Improved Weather Prediction Under Distributional Shift8 Jan 2024
- 2023Sampling-based Uncertainty Estimation for an Instance Segmentation Network24 May 2023
- 2023Anticipatory Planning: Improving Long-Lived Planning by Estimating Expected Cost of Future Tasks8 May 2023
12 newest of 19 All 19 (JSON)