Semi-analytical approximations to statistical moments of sigmoid and softmax mappings of normal variables
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Abstract (arXiv)
This note is concerned with accurate and computationally efficient approximations of moments of Gaussian random variables passed through sigmoid or softmax mappings. These approximations are semi-analytical (i.e. they involve the numerical adjustment of parametric forms) and highly accurate (they yield 5% error at most). We also highlight a few niche applications of these approximations, which arise in the context of, e.g., drift-diffusion models of decision making or non-parametric data clustering approaches. We provide these as examples of efficient alternatives to more tedious derivations that would be needed if one was to approach the underlying mathematical issues in a more formal way. We hope that this technical note will be helpful to modellers facing similar mathematical issues, although maybe stemming from different academic prospects.
Key facts. Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Mar 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 4; 2022: 6; 2023: 5; 2024: 1; 2025: 2; 2026: 2.
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- 2021LogME: Practical Assessment of Pre-trained Models for Transfer Learningcited by 172
- 2022Signal Propagation in Transformers: Theoretical Perspectives and the Role of Rank Collapsecited by 141
- 2022Rethinking and Scaling Up Graph Contrastive Learning: An Extremely Efficient Approach with Group Discriminationcited by 69
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- 2021Ranking and Tuning Pre-trained Models: A New Paradigm for Exploiting Model Hubscited by 28
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- 2024An Analytic Solution to Covariance Propagation in Neural Networkscited by 12
- 2023Massively Scaling Heteroscedastic Classifierscited by 11
- 2022Enhancing Privacy against Inversion Attacks in Federated Learning by using Mixing Gradients Strategiescited by 5
- 2025Rethinking Approximate Gaussian Inference in Classificationcited by 2
- 2021Uncertainty Propagation in Convolutional Neural Networks: Technical Reportcited by 1
8 more
- 2022Learning Functional Distributional Semantics with Visual Datacited by 1
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- 2023Distributed Variational Inference for Online Supervised Learningcited by 1
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- 2025Training of Spiking Neural Networks with Expectation-Propagationcited by 0
- 2026α-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectorscited by 0
- 2026Calibrated Sampling-Free Uncertainty Estimation in Bayesian Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2026Calibrated Sampling-Free Uncertainty Estimation in Bayesian Deep Learning15 Jun 2026
- 2026α-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors15 May 2026
- 2025Training of Spiking Neural Networks with Expectation-Propagation30 Jun 2025
- 2025Rethinking Approximate Gaussian Inference in Classification5 Feb 2025
- 2024An Analytic Solution to Covariance Propagation in Neural Networks24 Mar 2024
- 2023Distributed Variational Inference for Online Supervised Learning5 Sep 2023
- 2023Towards Automated Animal Density Estimation with Acoustic Spatial Capture-Recapture24 Aug 2023
- 2023Single-shot Bayesian approximation for neural networks24 Aug 2023
- 2023Low-rank extended Kalman filtering for online learning of neural networks from streaming data31 May 2023
- 2023Massively Scaling Heteroscedastic Classifiers30 Jan 2023
- 2022Propagating Variational Model Uncertainty for Bioacoustic Call Label Smoothing19 Oct 2022
- 2022Signal Propagation in Transformers: Theoretical Perspectives and the Role of Rank Collapse7 Jun 2022
8 more
- 2022Rethinking and Scaling Up Graph Contrastive Learning: An Extremely Efficient Approach with Group Discrimination3 Jun 2022
- 2022A Simple Approach to Improve Single-Model Deep Uncertainty via Distance-Awareness1 May 2022
- 2022Enhancing Privacy against Inversion Attacks in Federated Learning by using Mixing Gradients Strategies26 Apr 2022
- 2022Learning Functional Distributional Semantics with Visual Data22 Apr 2022
- 2021Ranking and Tuning Pre-trained Models: A New Paradigm for Exploiting Model Hubs20 Oct 2021
- 2021On the Practicality of Deterministic Epistemic Uncertainty1 Jul 2021
- 2021LogME: Practical Assessment of Pre-trained Models for Transfer Learning22 Feb 2021
- 2021Uncertainty Propagation in Convolutional Neural Networks: Technical Report11 Feb 2021
- 2021LogME: Practical Assessment of Pre-trained Models for Transfer Learningcited by 172
- 2022Signal Propagation in Transformers: Theoretical Perspectives and the Role of Rank Collapsecited by 141
- 2022Rethinking and Scaling Up Graph Contrastive Learning: An Extremely Efficient Approach with Group Discriminationcited by 69
- 2021On the Practicality of Deterministic Epistemic Uncertaintycited by 62
- 2022A Simple Approach to Improve Single-Model Deep Uncertainty via Distance-Awarenesscited by 49
- 2021Ranking and Tuning Pre-trained Models: A New Paradigm for Exploiting Model Hubscited by 28
- 2023Low-rank extended Kalman filtering for online learning of neural networks from streaming datacited by 23
- 2024An Analytic Solution to Covariance Propagation in Neural Networkscited by 12
- 2023Massively Scaling Heteroscedastic Classifierscited by 11
- 2022Enhancing Privacy against Inversion Attacks in Federated Learning by using Mixing Gradients Strategiescited by 5
- 2025Rethinking Approximate Gaussian Inference in Classificationcited by 2
- 2021Uncertainty Propagation in Convolutional Neural Networks: Technical Reportcited by 1
12 most cited of 20 All 20 (JSON)
- 2026Calibrated Sampling-Free Uncertainty Estimation in Bayesian Deep Learning15 Jun 2026
- 2026α-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors15 May 2026
- 2025Training of Spiking Neural Networks with Expectation-Propagation30 Jun 2025
- 2025Rethinking Approximate Gaussian Inference in Classification5 Feb 2025
- 2024An Analytic Solution to Covariance Propagation in Neural Networks24 Mar 2024
- 2023Distributed Variational Inference for Online Supervised Learning5 Sep 2023
- 2023Towards Automated Animal Density Estimation with Acoustic Spatial Capture-Recapture24 Aug 2023
- 2023Single-shot Bayesian approximation for neural networks24 Aug 2023
- 2023Low-rank extended Kalman filtering for online learning of neural networks from streaming data31 May 2023
- 2023Massively Scaling Heteroscedastic Classifiers30 Jan 2023
- 2022Propagating Variational Model Uncertainty for Bioacoustic Call Label Smoothing19 Oct 2022
- 2022Signal Propagation in Transformers: Theoretical Perspectives and the Role of Rank Collapse7 Jun 2022
12 newest of 20 All 20 (JSON)