Large-scale Validation of Counterfactual Learning Methods: A Test-Bed
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Abstract (arXiv)
The ability to perform effective off-policy learning would revolutionize the process of building better interactive systems, such as search engines and recommendation systems for e-commerce, computational advertising and news. Recent approaches for off-policy evaluation and learning in these settings appear promising. With this paper, we provide real-world data and a standardized test-bed to systematically investigate these algorithms using data from display advertising. In particular, we consider the problem of filling a banner ad with an aggregate of multiple products the user may want to purchase. This paper presents our test-bed, the sanity checks we ran to ensure its validity, and shows results comparing state-of-the-art off-policy learning methods like doubly robust optimization, POEM, and reductions to supervised learning using regression baselines. Our results show experimental evidence that recent off-policy learning methods can improve upon state-of-the-art supervised learning techniques on a large-scale real-world data set.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Dec 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 2; 2023: 1; 2024: 1; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
8 papers.
- 2022On the Factory Floor: ML Engineering for Industrial-Scale Ads Recommendation Modelscited by 34
- 2021A Large Scale Benchmark for Individual Treatment Effect Prediction and Uplift Modelingcited by 12
- 2021Enhancing Counterfactual Classification via Self-Trainingcited by 5
- 2022Synthetic Data-Based Simulators for Recommender Systems: A Surveycited by 5
- 2023A Field Test of Bandit Algorithms for Recommendations: Understanding the Validity of Assumptions on Human Preferences in Multi-armed Banditscited by 1
- 2024AExGym: Benchmarks and Environments for Adaptive Experimentationcited by 0
- 2025Meta Off-Policy Estimationcited by 0
- 2026Accelerating A/B-Tests with Counterfactual Estimation: Reducing Variance through Policy Overlapcited by 0
- 2026Accelerating A/B-Tests with Counterfactual Estimation: Reducing Variance through Policy Overlap16 Jul 2026
- 2025Meta Off-Policy Estimation11 Aug 2025
- 2024AExGym: Benchmarks and Environments for Adaptive Experimentation8 Aug 2024
- 2023A Field Test of Bandit Algorithms for Recommendations: Understanding the Validity of Assumptions on Human Preferences in Multi-armed Bandits16 Apr 2023
- 2022On the Factory Floor: ML Engineering for Industrial-Scale Ads Recommendation Models12 Sep 2022
- 2022Synthetic Data-Based Simulators for Recommender Systems: A Survey22 Jun 2022
- 2021Enhancing Counterfactual Classification via Self-Training8 Dec 2021
- 2021A Large Scale Benchmark for Individual Treatment Effect Prediction and Uplift Modeling19 Nov 2021