Bayesian Poisson Tucker Decomposition for Learning the Structure of International Relations
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Abstract (arXiv)
We introduce Bayesian Poisson Tucker decomposition (BPTD) for modeling country--country interaction event data. These data consist of interaction events of the form "country i took action a toward country j at time t." BPTD discovers overlapping country--community memberships, including the number of latent communities. In addition, it discovers directed community--community interaction networks that are specific to "topics" of action types and temporal "regimes." We show that BPTD yields an efficient MCMC inference algorithm and achieves better predictive performance than related models. We also demonstrate that it discovers interpretable latent structure that agrees with our knowledge of international relations.
Key facts. Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 6 Jun 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 6; 2023: 1; 2024: 8; 2025: 3; 2026: 5.
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- 2022Beyond Smoothness: Incorporating Low-Rank Analysis into Nonparametric Density Estimationcited by 8
- 2022Nonparametric Factor Trajectory Learning for Dynamic Tensor Decompositioncited by 7
- 2021Nonparametric Sparse Tensor Factorization with Hierarchical Gamma Processescited by 6
- 2022An Ordinal Latent Variable Model of Conflict Intensitycited by 6
- 2022Nonparametric Embeddings of Sparse High-Order Interaction Eventscited by 5
- 2023Dynamic Tensor Decomposition via Neural Diffusion-Reaction Processescited by 5
- 2024Efficient Nonparametric Tensor Decomposition for Binary and Count Datacited by 3
- 2025Broad Spectrum Structure Discovery in Large-Scale Higher-Order Networkscited by 3
- 2022The Ordered Matrix Dirichlet for State-Space Modelscited by 2
- 2024Scalable Bayesian Tensor Ring Factorization for Multiway Data Analysiscited by 2
- 2025Guaranteed Multidimensional Time Series Prediction via Deterministic Tensor Completion Theorycited by 2
- 2024Negative-Binomial Randomized Gamma Markov Processes for Heterogeneous Overdispersed Count Time Seriescited by 1
13 more
- 2024Doubly Non-Central Beta Matrix Factorization for Stable Dimensionality Reduction of Bounded Support Matrix Datacited by 1
- 2021Applying Differential Privacy to Tensor Completioncited by 0
- 2022Robust Manifold Nonnegative Tucker Factorization for Tensor Data Representationcited by 0
- 2024Wasserstein Nonnegative Tensor Factorization with Manifold Regularizationcited by 0
- 2024A Poisson-Gamma Dynamic Factor Model with Time-Varying Transition Dynamicscited by 0
- 2024Scaling up Dynamic Edge Partition Models via Stochastic Gradient MCMCcited by 0
- 2024The ALℓ0CORE Tensor Decomposition for Sparse Count Datacited by 0
- 2025Exact Recovery of Non-Random Missing Multidimensional Time Series via Temporal Isometric Delay-Embedding Transformcited by 0
- 2026Kronecker-Structured Nonparametric Spatiotemporal Point Processescited by 0
- 2026Bayesian Tensor Decomposition with Diffusion Model Priorcited by 0
- 2026Bayesian Poisson-Randomized Gamma Tensor Factorization with Application to International Trade Flowscited by 0
- 2026Poisson-Gamma Dynamical Systems with Time-varying Transition Dynamicscited by 0
- 2026Dynamic Latent Space Modeling of Inhomogeneous Poisson Network Processes with Applications to International Relationscited by 0
- 2026Dynamic Latent Space Modeling of Inhomogeneous Poisson Network Processes with Applications to International Relations8 Sep 2026
- 2026Poisson-Gamma Dynamical Systems with Time-varying Transition Dynamics1 Sep 2026
- 2026Bayesian Poisson-Randomized Gamma Tensor Factorization with Application to International Trade Flows15 Jun 2026
- 2026Bayesian Tensor Decomposition with Diffusion Model Prior2 Jun 2026
- 2026Kronecker-Structured Nonparametric Spatiotemporal Point Processes24 Mar 2026
- 2025Exact Recovery of Non-Random Missing Multidimensional Time Series via Temporal Isometric Delay-Embedding Transform11 Dec 2025
- 2025Broad Spectrum Structure Discovery in Large-Scale Higher-Order Networks27 May 2025
- 2025Guaranteed Multidimensional Time Series Prediction via Deterministic Tensor Completion Theory26 Jan 2025
- 2024Scalable Bayesian Tensor Ring Factorization for Multiway Data Analysis4 Dec 2024
- 2024Doubly Non-Central Beta Matrix Factorization for Stable Dimensionality Reduction of Bounded Support Matrix Data24 Oct 2024
- 2024The ALℓ0CORE Tensor Decomposition for Sparse Count Data10 Mar 2024
- 2024Scaling up Dynamic Edge Partition Models via Stochastic Gradient MCMC29 Feb 2024
13 more
- 2024Negative-Binomial Randomized Gamma Markov Processes for Heterogeneous Overdispersed Count Time Series29 Feb 2024
- 2024A Poisson-Gamma Dynamic Factor Model with Time-Varying Transition Dynamics26 Feb 2024
- 2024Efficient Nonparametric Tensor Decomposition for Binary and Count Data15 Jan 2024
- 2024Wasserstein Nonnegative Tensor Factorization with Manifold Regularization3 Jan 2024
- 2023Dynamic Tensor Decomposition via Neural Diffusion-Reaction Processes30 Oct 2023
- 2022The Ordered Matrix Dirichlet for State-Space Models8 Dec 2022
- 2022Robust Manifold Nonnegative Tucker Factorization for Tensor Data Representation8 Nov 2022
- 2022An Ordinal Latent Variable Model of Conflict Intensity8 Oct 2022
- 2022Nonparametric Embeddings of Sparse High-Order Interaction Events8 Jul 2022
- 2022Nonparametric Factor Trajectory Learning for Dynamic Tensor Decomposition6 Jul 2022
- 2022Beyond Smoothness: Incorporating Low-Rank Analysis into Nonparametric Density Estimation2 Apr 2022
- 2021Nonparametric Sparse Tensor Factorization with Hierarchical Gamma Processes19 Oct 2021
- 2021Applying Differential Privacy to Tensor Completion1 Oct 2021
- 2026Bayesian Tensor Decomposition with Diffusion Model Priorcited by 0
- 2026Bayesian Tensor Decomposition with Diffusion Model Prior2 Jun 2026
- 2022Beyond Smoothness: Incorporating Low-Rank Analysis into Nonparametric Density Estimationcited by 8
- 2022Nonparametric Factor Trajectory Learning for Dynamic Tensor Decompositioncited by 7
- 2021Nonparametric Sparse Tensor Factorization with Hierarchical Gamma Processescited by 6
- 2022An Ordinal Latent Variable Model of Conflict Intensitycited by 6
- 2022Nonparametric Embeddings of Sparse High-Order Interaction Eventscited by 5
- 2023Dynamic Tensor Decomposition via Neural Diffusion-Reaction Processescited by 5
- 2024Efficient Nonparametric Tensor Decomposition for Binary and Count Datacited by 3
- 2025Broad Spectrum Structure Discovery in Large-Scale Higher-Order Networkscited by 3
- 2022The Ordered Matrix Dirichlet for State-Space Modelscited by 2
- 2024Scalable Bayesian Tensor Ring Factorization for Multiway Data Analysiscited by 2
- 2025Guaranteed Multidimensional Time Series Prediction via Deterministic Tensor Completion Theorycited by 2
- 2024Negative-Binomial Randomized Gamma Markov Processes for Heterogeneous Overdispersed Count Time Seriescited by 1
12 most cited of 24 All 24 (JSON)
- 2026Dynamic Latent Space Modeling of Inhomogeneous Poisson Network Processes with Applications to International Relations8 Sep 2026
- 2026Poisson-Gamma Dynamical Systems with Time-varying Transition Dynamics1 Sep 2026
- 2026Bayesian Poisson-Randomized Gamma Tensor Factorization with Application to International Trade Flows15 Jun 2026
- 2026Kronecker-Structured Nonparametric Spatiotemporal Point Processes24 Mar 2026
- 2025Exact Recovery of Non-Random Missing Multidimensional Time Series via Temporal Isometric Delay-Embedding Transform11 Dec 2025
- 2025Broad Spectrum Structure Discovery in Large-Scale Higher-Order Networks27 May 2025
- 2025Guaranteed Multidimensional Time Series Prediction via Deterministic Tensor Completion Theory26 Jan 2025
- 2024Scalable Bayesian Tensor Ring Factorization for Multiway Data Analysis4 Dec 2024
- 2024Doubly Non-Central Beta Matrix Factorization for Stable Dimensionality Reduction of Bounded Support Matrix Data24 Oct 2024
- 2024The ALℓ0CORE Tensor Decomposition for Sparse Count Data10 Mar 2024
- 2024Scaling up Dynamic Edge Partition Models via Stochastic Gradient MCMC29 Feb 2024
- 2024Negative-Binomial Randomized Gamma Markov Processes for Heterogeneous Overdispersed Count Time Series29 Feb 2024
12 newest of 24 All 24 (JSON)