An intuitive Bayesian spatial model for disease mapping that accounts for scaling
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Abstract (arXiv)
In recent years, disease mapping studies have become a routine application within geographical epidemiology and are typically analysed within a Bayesian hierarchical model formulation. A variety of model formulations for the latent level have been proposed but all come with inherent issues. In the classical BYM model, the spatially structured component cannot be seen independently from the unstructured component. This makes prior definitions for the hyperparameters of the two random effects challenging. There are alternative model formulations that address this confounding, however, the issue on how to choose interpretable hyperpriors is still unsolved. Here, we discuss a recently proposed parameterisation of the BYM model that leads to improved parameter control as the hyperparameters can be seen independently from each other. Furthermore, the need for a scaled spatial component is addressed, which facilitates assignment of interpretable hyperpriors and make these transferable between spatial applications with different graph structures. We provide implementation details for the new model formulation which preserve sparsity properties, and we investigate systematically the model performance and compare it to existing parameterisations. Through a simulation study, we show that the new model performs well, both showing good learning abilities and good shrinkage behaviour. In terms of model choice criteria, the proposed model performs at least equally well as existing parameterisations, but only the new formulation offers parameters that are interpretable and hyperpriors that have a clear meaning.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 6 Jan 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 0; 2023: 3; 2024: 1; 2025: 0; 2026: 2.
7 papers.
- 2021PriorVAE: Encoding spatial priors with VAEs for small-area estimationcited by 11
- 2023PriorCVAE: scalable MCMC parameter inference with Bayesian deep generative modellingcited by 6
- 2023Deep learning and MCMC with aggVAE for shifting administrative boundaries: mapping malaria prevalence in Kenyacited by 0
- 2023Semi-Parametric Inference for Doubly Stochastic Spatial Point Processes: An Approximate Penalized Poisson Likelihood Approachcited by 0
- 2024Federated Learning for Non-factorizable Models using Deep Generative Prior Approximationscited by 0
- 2026Horseshoe Priors for Spatial Small Area Estimation: Regular Variation, Tail Robustness, and Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2026Planetary Geospatial Foundation Models: A New Paradigm for Global Public Healthcited by 0
- 2026Planetary Geospatial Foundation Models: A New Paradigm for Global Public Health5 Oct 2026
- 2026Horseshoe Priors for Spatial Small Area Estimation: Regular Variation, Tail Robustness, and Deep Learning16 Jun 2026
- 2024Federated Learning for Non-factorizable Models using Deep Generative Prior Approximations25 May 2024
- 2023Semi-Parametric Inference for Doubly Stochastic Spatial Point Processes: An Approximate Penalized Poisson Likelihood Approach11 Jun 2023
- 2023Deep learning and MCMC with aggVAE for shifting administrative boundaries: mapping malaria prevalence in Kenya31 May 2023
- 2023PriorCVAE: scalable MCMC parameter inference with Bayesian deep generative modelling9 Apr 2023
- 2021PriorVAE: Encoding spatial priors with VAEs for small-area estimation20 Oct 2021