On the definition of a confounder
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Abstract (arXiv)
The causal inference literature has provided a clear formal definition of confounding expressed in terms of counterfactual independence. The literature has not, however, come to any consensus on a formal definition of a confounder, as it has given priority to the concept of confounding over that of a confounder. We consider a number of candidate definitions arising from various more informal statements made in the literature. We consider the properties satisfied by each candidate definition, principally focusing on (i) whether under the candidate definition control for all "confounders" suffices to control for "confounding" and (ii) whether each confounder in some context helps eliminate or reduce confounding bias. Several of the candidate definitions do not have these two properties. Only one candidate definition of those considered satisfies both properties. We propose that a "confounder" be defined as a pre-exposure covariate C for which there exists a set of other covariates X such that effect of the exposure on the outcome is unconfounded conditional on (X,C) but such that for no proper subset of (X,C) is the effect of the exposure on the outcome unconfounded given the subset. We also provide a conditional analogue of the above definition; and we propose a variable that helps reduce bias but not eliminate bias be referred to as a "surrogate confounder." These definitions are closely related to those given by Robins and Morgenstern [Comput. Math. Appl. 14 (1987) 869-916]. The implications that hold among the various candidate definitions are discussed.
Key facts. Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 2 Apr 2013.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 3; 2022: 3; 2023: 2; 2024: 4; 2025: 3; 2026: 4.
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- 2023Local Discovery by Partitioning: Polynomial-Time Causal Discovery Around Exposure-Outcome Pairscited by 9
- 2021Annotation Curricula to Implicitly Train Non-Expert Annotatorscited by 8
- 2022Quant 4.0: Engineering Quantitative Investment with Automated, Explainable and Knowledge-driven Artificial Intelligencecited by 6
- 2024Local Causal Discovery for Structural Evidence of Direct Discriminationcited by 6
- 2021Causal Inference in medicine and in health policy, a summarycited by 4
- 2021Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation using machine learning for Healthcare application: tutorial and benchmarkcited by 4
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shiftscited by 3
- 2026IV-ICL: Bounding Causal Effects with Instrumental Variables via In-Context Learningcited by 3
- 2023A survey on bias in machine learning researchcited by 2
- 2024Reexamining Racial Disparities in Automatic Speech Recognition Performance: The Role of Confounding by Provenancecited by 2
- 2024An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Seriescited by 2
- 2025Comparing Two Proxy Methods for Causal Identificationcited by 2
7 more
- 2022Investigating the Robustness of Natural Language Generation from Logical Forms via Counterfactual Samplescited by 1
- 2022Confound-leakage: Confound Removal in Machine Learning Leads to Leakagecited by 1
- 2025Causal Discovery and Inference towards Urban Elements and Associated Factorscited by 0
- 2025Causal Inference, Biomarker Discovery, Graph Neural Network, Feature Selectioncited by 0
- 2026Age Predictors Through the Lens of Generalization, Bias Mitigation, and Interpretability: Reflections on Causal Implicationscited by 0
- 2026Causal Representation Learning on High-Dimensional Data: Benchmarks, Reproducibility, and Evaluation Metricscited by 0
- 2026ConfoundingSHAP: Quantifying confounding strength in causal inferencecited by 0
- 2026IV-ICL: Bounding Causal Effects with Instrumental Variables via In-Context Learning13 May 2026
- 2026ConfoundingSHAP: Quantifying confounding strength in causal inference11 May 2026
- 2026Causal Representation Learning on High-Dimensional Data: Benchmarks, Reproducibility, and Evaluation Metrics18 Mar 2026
- 2026Age Predictors Through the Lens of Generalization, Bias Mitigation, and Interpretability: Reflections on Causal Implications17 Mar 2026
- 2025Comparing Two Proxy Methods for Causal Identification28 Nov 2025
- 2025Causal Inference, Biomarker Discovery, Graph Neural Network, Feature Selection17 Nov 2025
- 2025Causal Discovery and Inference towards Urban Elements and Associated Factors9 Mar 2025
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shifts26 Sep 2024
- 2024An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series16 Aug 2024
- 2024Reexamining Racial Disparities in Automatic Speech Recognition Performance: The Role of Confounding by Provenance19 Jul 2024
- 2024Local Causal Discovery for Structural Evidence of Direct Discrimination23 May 2024
- 2023Local Discovery by Partitioning: Polynomial-Time Causal Discovery Around Exposure-Outcome Pairs25 Oct 2023
7 more
- 2023A survey on bias in machine learning research22 Aug 2023
- 2022Quant 4.0: Engineering Quantitative Investment with Automated, Explainable and Knowledge-driven Artificial Intelligence13 Dec 2022
- 2022Confound-leakage: Confound Removal in Machine Learning Leads to Leakage17 Oct 2022
- 2022Investigating the Robustness of Natural Language Generation from Logical Forms via Counterfactual Samples16 Oct 2022
- 2021Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation using machine learning for Healthcare application: tutorial and benchmark27 Sep 2021
- 2021Annotation Curricula to Implicitly Train Non-Expert Annotators4 Jun 2021
- 2021Causal Inference in medicine and in health policy, a summary10 May 2021
- 2023Local Discovery by Partitioning: Polynomial-Time Causal Discovery Around Exposure-Outcome Pairscited by 9
- 2021Annotation Curricula to Implicitly Train Non-Expert Annotatorscited by 8
- 2022Quant 4.0: Engineering Quantitative Investment with Automated, Explainable and Knowledge-driven Artificial Intelligencecited by 6
- 2024Local Causal Discovery for Structural Evidence of Direct Discriminationcited by 6
- 2021Causal Inference in medicine and in health policy, a summarycited by 4
- 2021Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation using machine learning for Healthcare application: tutorial and benchmarkcited by 4
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shiftscited by 3
- 2026IV-ICL: Bounding Causal Effects with Instrumental Variables via In-Context Learningcited by 3
- 2023A survey on bias in machine learning researchcited by 2
- 2024Reexamining Racial Disparities in Automatic Speech Recognition Performance: The Role of Confounding by Provenancecited by 2
- 2024An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Seriescited by 2
- 2025Comparing Two Proxy Methods for Causal Identificationcited by 2
12 most cited of 18 All 18 (JSON)
- 2026IV-ICL: Bounding Causal Effects with Instrumental Variables via In-Context Learning13 May 2026
- 2026ConfoundingSHAP: Quantifying confounding strength in causal inference11 May 2026
- 2026Causal Representation Learning on High-Dimensional Data: Benchmarks, Reproducibility, and Evaluation Metrics18 Mar 2026
- 2026Age Predictors Through the Lens of Generalization, Bias Mitigation, and Interpretability: Reflections on Causal Implications17 Mar 2026
- 2025Comparing Two Proxy Methods for Causal Identification28 Nov 2025
- 2025Causal Inference, Biomarker Discovery, Graph Neural Network, Feature Selection17 Nov 2025
- 2025Causal Discovery and Inference towards Urban Elements and Associated Factors9 Mar 2025
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shifts26 Sep 2024
- 2024An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series16 Aug 2024
- 2024Reexamining Racial Disparities in Automatic Speech Recognition Performance: The Role of Confounding by Provenance19 Jul 2024
- 2024Local Causal Discovery for Structural Evidence of Direct Discrimination23 May 2024
- 2023Local Discovery by Partitioning: Polynomial-Time Causal Discovery Around Exposure-Outcome Pairs25 Oct 2023
12 newest of 18 All 18 (JSON)