# Counterfactual Neighborhood Risk Fields: Evidence-Grounded Selective Safety for Vision-Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.20679 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.20679/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in MLLM jailbreaks and adversarial robustness, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [MLLM jailbreaks and adversarial robustness](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/mllm-jailbreaks-and-adversarial-robustness/)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Representation-based safety defenses for vision-language models (VLMs) often learn to separate harmful from benign inputs, but separation alone does not establish what a risk score means or when it should be trusted. We introduce Counterfactual Neighborhood Risk Fields (CNRF), an evidence-grounded framework for selective VLM safety. CNRF constructs context-matched benign-harmful counterfactual pairs, uses their representation differences as capability-related risk directions, and estimates neighborhood support separately from risk. This separation prevents unfamiliarity from being conflated with harmfulness and enables selective intervention rather than blanket rejection. A victim-adaptive interface accommodates different safety observations across VLM architectures and routes selected requests for same-victim response review, which either releases acceptable candidates or produces constrained alternatives with reduced harmful capability. Across three VLMs and five multimodal jailbreak families, CNRF achieves 86.06-89.30% macro defense success rate while retaining substantial benign-task utility. Controlled experiments further show that query-matched references and preserved context-direction correspondence materially improve risk ranking in the low-false-positive regime. CNRF thus reframes representation-based VLM safety from learning harmfulness boundaries to constructing applicable evidence for selective risk decisions.