# TimeRSI: Towards Self-Improved Agentic Deployment for Time-Series Foundation Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.19725 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.19725/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 18 of its 21 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Financial trading and forecasting agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/financial-trading-and-forecasting-agents/)
- Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs / [Self-evolving LLM agents](https://mlsanity.com/synth/self-evolving-llm-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17651/) (2023)
- [Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07815/) (2024)
- [GEPA: Reflective Prompt Evolution Can Outperform Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19457/) (2025)
- [MLE-bench: Evaluating Machine Learning Agents on Machine Learning Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07095/) (2024)
- [MLAgentBench: Evaluating Language Agents on Machine Learning Experimentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03302/) (2023)
- [Meta-Harness: End-to-End Optimization of Model Harnesses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.28052/) (2026)
- [AIDE: AI-Driven Exploration in the Space of Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13138/) (2025)
- [LSTPrompt: Large Language Models as Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters by Long-Short-Term Prompting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.16132/) (2024)
- [A Picture is Worth A Thousand Numbers: Enabling LLMs Reason about Time Series via Visualization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.06018/) (2024)
- [It's TIME: Towards the Next Generation of Time Series Forecasting Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12147/) (2026)
- [Toto 2.0: Time Series Forecasting Enters the Scaling Era](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.20119/) (2026)
- [Time-Series Forecasting for Out-of-Distribution Generalization Using Invariant Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09130/) (2024)
- [Adaptive Auto-Harness: Sustained Self-Improvement for Agentic System Deployment on Open-Ended Task Streams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01770/) (2026)
- [Large Pre-trained time series models for cross-domain Time series analysis tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.11413/) (2023)
- [TiRex-2: Generalizing TiRex to Multivariate Data and Streaming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.01204/) (2026)
- [Recursive self-improvement of AI research agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.26457/) (2026)
- [Rethinking Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.06973/) (2026)
- [QiYao-M: Multimodal Time Series Foundation Model with Role-Aware Modeling of Endogenous and Exogenous Modalities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34842/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real-world applications still requires task-specific designs for model inputs and outputs. Direct inference can leave domain knowledge and recurring forecast errors unaddressed, while tailored pipelines require substantial human expertise and effort. We introduce TimeRSI, a self-improving agentic deployment system around frozen forecasting models. A coding agent translates task descriptions into executable pipeline changes. It tests each revision on historical forecasting windows and uses observed errors to guide subsequent revisions. During deployment, an adaptive selector chooses among the resulting pipelines using completed forecasts under similar conditions. Across 198 tasks on TIME and fev-bench, TimeRSI outperforms all submissions on six point and probabilistic forecasting metrics. Controlled comparisons support the value of feedback-guided revision over non-iterative pipeline search. Further experiments verify the generalization with different coding agents and forecasting models. Code is available at https://github.com/haoxin1998/TimeRSI.