# JtT: Rethinking Point Trajectory Diffusion for Diverse and Rigid Motion from an Image

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.16591 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.16591/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 51 of its 58 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Oct 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 51)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
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- [The Cityscapes Dataset for Semantic Urban Scene Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.01685/) (2016)
- [Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03003/) (2022)
- [Improved Techniques for Training GANs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.03498/) (2016)
- [Wan: Open and Advanced Large-Scale Video Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20314/) (2025)
- [RT-1: Robotics Transformer for Real-World Control at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.06817/) (2022)
- [VBench: Comprehensive Benchmark Suite for Video Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17982/) (2023)
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- [LIBERO: Benchmarking Knowledge Transfer for Lifelong Robot Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03310/) (2023)
- [Towards Accurate Generative Models of Video: A New Metric & Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.01717/) (2018)
- [Perceiver: General Perception with Iterative Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03206/) (2021)
- [The "something something" video database for learning and evaluating visual common sense](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04261/) (2017)
- [Stochastic Interpolants: A Unifying Framework for Flows and Diffusions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08797/) (2023)
- [Vision Transformers Need Registers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.16588/) (2023)
- [BridgeData V2: A Dataset for Robot Learning at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.12952/) (2023)
- [Movie Gen: A Cast of Media Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13720/) (2024)
- [Perceiver IO: A General Architecture for Structured Inputs & Outputs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.14795/) (2021)
- [Rescaling Egocentric Vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13256/) (2020)
- [CoTracker: It is Better to Track Together](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07635/) (2023)
- [Kubric: A scalable dataset generator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.03570/) (2022)
- [TAPIR: Tracking Any Point with per-frame Initialization and temporal Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08637/) (2023)
- [VideoPhy: Evaluating Physical Commonsense for Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03520/) (2024)
- [How Far is Video Generation from World Model: A Physical Law Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02385/) (2024)
- [SpatialTracker: Tracking Any 2D Pixels in 3D Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.04319/) (2024)
- [Learning to Act from Actionless Videos through Dense Correspondences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08576/) (2023)
- [Gen2Act: Human Video Generation in Novel Scenarios enables Generalizable Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.16283/) (2024)
- [VideoPhy-2: A Challenging Action-Centric Physical Commonsense Evaluation in Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.06800/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study forecasting rigid-body motion from a single image: generating diverse and physically plausible future trajectories for arbitrary points in a scene, without building rigidity into the architecture or relying on geometric inputs such as depth. Like video generators, recent trajectory generators fail at this task, even in simple synthetic Kubric scenes, despite scaling up model size and training on real data. We show how to solve this with the right architecture and parameterization. Our model, JtT, is a simple diffusion transformer that operates directly in coordinate space and decodes arbitrary and dense query patterns, without the trajectory VAEs or fixed grids assumed in prior work. Through a systematic study of the design space of point trajectory diffusion, we find that diffusing per-frame velocities is the only parameterization that captures rigidity, that it must be paired with the right timestep schedule, and that adding full-resolution RGB at the query points resolves the boundary failures of prior methods. However, evaluating such 2D models rigorously is itself non-trivial. To our knowledge, we are the first to observe that physical plausibility and diversity do not improve together during training: larger models, as used in prior work, memorize the single ground-truth future per training image, becoming more rigid while covering fewer possible futures. Yet prior work has paid little attention to this, so we show how model rankings depend on model size, metric, and stopping time, and adopt a stricter, checkpoint-averaged evaluation protocol. Under this protocol, JtT improves over prior methods on both distributional and rigidity metrics and approaches ground-truth rigidity, with only about 50M parameters.
