# Large Decision Models: Repurposing Large Language Models as Single-Pass Decision Makers

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.15501 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.15501/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 57 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Oct 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [Finetuned Language Models Are Zero-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.01652/) (2021)
- [Self-Instruct: Aligning Language Models with Self-Generated Instructions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10560/) (2022)
- [Calibrate Before Use: Improving Few-Shot Performance of Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09690/) (2021)
- [Self-training with Noisy Student improves ImageNet classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.04252/) (2019)
- [STaR: Bootstrapping Reasoning With Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.14465/) (2022)
- [On-Policy Distillation of Language Models: Learning from Self-Generated Mistakes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13649/) (2023)
- [Exploiting Cloze Questions for Few Shot Text Classification and Natural Language Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.07676/) (2020)
- [Super-NaturalInstructions: Generalization via Declarative Instructions on 1600+ NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07705/) (2022)
- [FrugalGPT: How to Use Large Language Models While Reducing Cost and Improving Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05176/) (2023)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [Robust fine-tuning of zero-shot models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.01903/) (2021)
- [The Flan Collection: Designing Data and Methods for Effective Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13688/) (2023)
- [Distilling Step-by-Step! Outperforming Larger Language Models with Less Training Data and Smaller Model Sizes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.02301/) (2023)
- [RouteLLM: Learning to Route LLMs with Preference Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.18665/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Can Self-Improve](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11610/) (2022)
- [Self-Distilled Reasoner: On-Policy Self-Distillation for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.18734/) (2026)
- [Unnatural Instructions: Tuning Language Models with (Almost) No Human Labor](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09689/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models Are Reasoning Teachers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10071/) (2022)
- [Teaching Small Language Models to Reason](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.08410/) (2022)
- [From Explicit CoT to Implicit CoT: Learning to Internalize CoT Step by Step](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.14838/) (2024)
- [Implicit Chain of Thought Reasoning via Knowledge Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.01460/) (2023)
- [Distilling System 2 into System 1](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.06023/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models make decisions through parallel prefill and sequential decoding. Although effective, this approach incurs decoding costs and does not explicitly expose decision probabilities. Existing task-specific classifiers require per-task training and offer limited generalization to unseen decision schemas. We propose Large Decision Models (LDMs), repurposing language models to return explicit probabilities over labels specified at run time using one prefill forward pass. We first adapt models to this interface through Diverse Decision Supervision (DDS), covering varied domains, rules and labels. To further narrow the performance gap to a reasoning model, Self-Posed Reasoning Distillation (SPRD) adds tasks generated by a frozen teacher, filters them for answer consistency, and trains on label distributions obtained from repeated teacher reasoning. We evaluate on DecisionVista, pairing new-schema tests with held-out human-labelled sources. Across three base models, the recipe improves accuracy over a step-matched baseline by 1.8 and 1.5 percentage points, respectively, achieving a 182-fold speedup in latency over reasoning rollout on Gemma-4-31B. Reasoning remains stronger on the new-schema test, motivating a confidence router for uncertain decisions. On development sets, routing recovers a median 92% of reasoning's accuracy advantage while generating 27-58% of its tokens. Code is available at https://github.com/JianhuiWei7/LDM.
