# Thyroid Nodule Segmentation in Ultrasound Images with Conformal Uncertainty Estimation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.13604 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.13604/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 6 of its 11 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Oct 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [EfficientNet: Rethinking Model Scaling for Convolutional Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11946/) (2019)
- [Squeeze-and-Excitation Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.01507/) (2017)
- [Encoder-Decoder with Atrous Separable Convolution for Semantic Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.02611/) (2018)
- [CBAM: Convolutional Block Attention Module](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.06521/) (2018)
- [Generalised Dice overlap as a deep learning loss function for highly unbalanced segmentations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.03237/) (2017)
- [Boundary loss for highly unbalanced segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.07032/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Thyroid nodules affect a large proportion of the general population. Although most are benign, a non-negligible fraction is malignant. Ultrasound imaging is the primary diagnostic modality, and accurate nodule segmentation is a prerequisite for CAD systems to classify malignancy and assess metastatic risk. In this work, we propose a thyroid nodule segmentation framework that integrates a DeepLabV3+, channel-attention modules and post-hoc conformal prediction, providing both accurate mask and pixel-level uncertainty estimates. We address thyroid ultrasound nodule segmentation as the first stage of a pipeline that also includes malignancy classification and metastatic risk prediction. We adopt DeepLabV3+, whose Atrous Spatial Pyramid Pooling (ASPP) captures multi-scale context, with an EfficientNet-B5 backbone for its accuracy-efficiency trade-off. Additionally, we test three channel-attention modules: Squeeze-and-Excitation, CBAM and Grouped Channel Attention (GCA), paired with two loss formulations (Dice-BCE and Boundary). Since binary masks do not indicate prediction confidence, we wrap the trained model with a split conformal prediction layer that produces pixel-level uncertainty maps with statistical coverage guarantees. We evaluate all configurations on the TN3K public benchmark using a fixed split and directly compare them with state-of-the-art methods. The plain backbone already improves upon previously reported results, with CBAM + Dice-BCE emerging as the best overall configuration.