# Video Prediction Policy 2: Predict Better, Act Better

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10270 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.10270/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Embodied and robot world models, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 59 of its 77 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 7 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Embodied and robot world models](https://mlsanity.com/wm/embodied-and-robot-world-models/)
- Vision-language-action models / [World model-based VLA](https://mlsanity.com/vla/world-model-based-vla/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 59)

- [Wan: Open and Advanced Large-Scale Video Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20314/) (2025)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [Stable Video Diffusion: Scaling Latent Video Diffusion Models to Large Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.15127/) (2023)
- [π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.24164/) (2024)
- [π0.5: a Vision-Language-Action Model with Open-World Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16054/) (2025)
- [Learning Fine-Grained Bimanual Manipulation with Low-Cost Hardware](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.13705/) (2023)
- [Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08864/) (2023)
- [Cosmos World Foundation Model Platform for Physical AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.03575/) (2025)
- [DROID: A Large-Scale In-The-Wild Robot Manipulation Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.12945/) (2024)
- [Scaling Egocentric Vision: The EPIC-KITCHENS Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.02748/) (2018)
- [RDT-1B: a Diffusion Foundation Model for Bimanual Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07864/) (2024)
- [World Action Models are Zero-shot Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.15922/) (2026)
- [AgiBot World Colosseo: A Large-scale Manipulation Platform for Scalable and Intelligent Embodied Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.06669/) (2025)
- [OpenVid-1M: A Large-Scale High-Quality Dataset for Text-to-video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.02371/) (2024)
- [Fast-WAM: Do World Action Models Need Test-time Future Imagination?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.16666/) (2026)
- [Causal World Modeling for Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21998/) (2026)
- [Video Prediction Policy: A Generalist Robot Policy with Predictive Visual Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14803/) (2024)
- [Cosmos Policy: Fine-Tuning Video Models for Visuomotor Control and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16163/) (2026)
- [Zero-Shot Robotic Manipulation with Pretrained Image-Editing Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10639/) (2023)
- [Unified World Models: Coupling Video and Action Diffusion for Pretraining on Large Robotic Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.02792/) (2025)
- [Hi Robot: Open-Ended Instruction Following with Hierarchical Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19417/) (2025)
- [Unified Video Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.00200/) (2025)
- [EgoDex: Learning Dexterous Manipulation from Large-Scale Egocentric Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11709/) (2025)
- [MolmoAct: Action Reasoning Models that can Reason in Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.07917/) (2025)
- [RH20T: A Comprehensive Robotic Dataset for Learning Diverse Skills in One-Shot](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.00595/) (2023)
- [RoboMIND: Benchmark on Multi-embodiment Intelligence Normative Data for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.13877/) (2024)
- [LIBERO-PRO: Towards Robust and Fair Evaluation of Vision-Language-Action Models Beyond Memorization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.03827/) (2025)
- [Gen2Act: Human Video Generation in Novel Scenarios enables Generalizable Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.16283/) (2024)
- [Cosmos 3: Omnimodal World Models for Physical AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.02800/) (2026)
- [Genie Envisioner: A Unified World Foundation Platform for Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.05635/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

World action models (WAMs) have emerged as an important class of generalist robot policies, aiming to transfer video prediction priors to action learning. However, we find that existing WAMs frequently produce incorrect motion predictions in open-ended environment, leading to erroneous actions. We attribute this limitation to two factors: (1) base video models are not optimized for manipulation, and (2) naively incorporating action components into video models can substantially degrade their generalization capabilities. We introduce Video Prediction Policy 2 (VPP2), a WAM that enables strong zero-shot generalization in both video prediction and action generation. First, we curate a large-scale, diverse dataset of manipulation videos to continue pretraining the base video foundation model. We annotate video clips with detailed captions and perform textitevent-level video pretraining to promote generalization across open-ended manipulation tasks. Second, we post-train and distill the video model into a single-step visual planner with fixed prediction horizon. Finally, we introduce action module via a mixture-of-transformers (MoT) architecture to learn implicit inverse dynamics model. Experiments demonstrate three key results: (1) VPP2-14B outperforms Cosmos3-64B by 11.0% points in video prediction instruction-following success rate on open-ended tasks; (2) VPP2 surpasses the strongest baseline by 18.5% points in success rate on real-world zero-shot ALOHA manipulation tasks; and (3) following benchmark-specific post-training, VPP2 achieves the highest success rates among evaluated methods on the challenging LIBERO-Pro, LIBERO-OOD, and RoboDojo benchmarks.