# What pass@k Cannot Measure: Evaluating Diversity and Capability Retention after Post-Training

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07405 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.07405/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reinforcement learning for reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 8 of its 9 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 5 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Reinforcement learning for reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/reinforcement-learning-for-reasoning/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03374/) (2021)
- [Let's Verify Step by Step](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.20050/) (2023)
- [Does Reinforcement Learning Really Incentivize Reasoning Capacity in LLMs Beyond the Base Model?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.13837/) (2025)
- [Why Does Self-Distillation (Sometimes) Degrade the Reasoning Capability of LLMs?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.24472/) (2026)
- [On-Policy Self-Distillation with Sampled Demonstrations Reduces Output Diversity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.26091/) (2026)
- [QUATRO: Query-Adaptive Trust Region Policy Optimization for LLM Fine-tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.04620/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

pass@k, the fraction of problems a model solves within k sampled attempts, is the field's default protocol for deciding whether reinforcement-learning (RL) post-training on verifiable rewards improved a model. At the population level, pass@k depends only on a problem's probability of a correct sample, with no term for how it is distributed across outputs. We show this gap is not academic. Training Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct on grade-school math with Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) and with rejection-sampling fine-tuning (RFT, training on the model's own shortest verifier-passed rollout) moves three complementary diversity measures (token-level entropy, answer-level entropy, unique answers per prompt) in opposite directions, with zero overlap across three seeds per arm. The gap survives restricting to verifier-correct completions only (lexical diversity among correct solutions is 15% lower for GRPO, after controlling for length) and a count-controlled check isolating diversity among incorrect answers alone, ruling out that GRPO's higher accuracy alone explains it. Yet pass@8 and pass@32 show no consistent winner on GSM8K, and a hard MATH-500 subset shows the same pattern: separation only at low k. Compared against the starting checkpoint, no trained arm significantly improves hard-problem coverage: RFT is significantly worse, while GRPO is statistically indistinguishable from it - so GRPO's pass@1 edge over RFT reflects a smaller loss relative to Base, not a capability gain, a missing-control issue, not a failure of pass@k. On GSM8K, only pass@1, with no role in detecting diversity by construction, separates the arms cleanly, rewarding the arm whose correct solutions are least diverse. We argue this is a concrete instance of a standard evaluation protocol missing a property it is routinely used to certify.
