# Certification of Real Images through Calibrated Content Authentication

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05870 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05870/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 50 of its 75 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 5 Oct 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 50)

- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Deep Features as a Perceptual Metric](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.03924/) (2018)
- [Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06083/) (2017)
- [BLIP-2: Bootstrapping Language-Image Pre-training with Frozen Image Encoders and Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12597/) (2023)
- [Flow Matching for Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02747/) (2022)
- [Scaling Rectified Flow Transformers for High-Resolution Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03206/) (2024)
- [Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03003/) (2022)
- [Null-text Inversion for Editing Real Images using Guided Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.09794/) (2022)
- [Membership Inference Attacks From First Principles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03570/) (2021)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [Extracting Training Data from Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13188/) (2023)
- [Leveraging Frequency Analysis for Deep Fake Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.08685/) (2020)
- [Towards Universal Fake Image Detectors that Generalize Across Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10174/) (2023)
- [DIRE for Diffusion-Generated Image Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09295/) (2023)
- [The Stable Signature: Rooting Watermarks in Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.15435/) (2023)
- [EDICT: Exact Diffusion Inversion via Coupled Transformations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.12446/) (2022)
- [Understanding and Mitigating Copying in Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.20086/) (2023)
- [Tree-Ring Watermarks: Fingerprints for Diffusion Images that are Invisible and Robust](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.20030/) (2023)
- [Forgery-aware Adaptive Transformer for Generalizable Synthetic Image Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.16649/) (2023)
- [Semantic Image Inversion and Editing using Rectified Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10792/) (2024)
- [Raising the Bar of AI-generated Image Detection with CLIP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00195/) (2023)
- [Exploring Temporal Coherence for More General Video Face Forgery Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.06693/) (2021)
- [Gaussian Shading: Provable Performance-Lossless Image Watermarking for Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.04956/) (2024)
- [AEROBLADE: Training-Free Detection of Latent Diffusion Images Using Autoencoder Reconstruction Error](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.17879/) (2024)
- [C2P-CLIP: Injecting Category Common Prompt in CLIP to Enhance Generalization in Deepfake Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.09647/) (2024)
- [Robustness of AI-Image Detectors: Fundamental Limits and Practical Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.00076/) (2023)
- [Detecting Multimedia Generated by Large AI Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.00045/) (2024)
- [Dual Data Alignment Makes AI-Generated Image Detector Easier Generalizable](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14359/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Generative models can synthesize high-quality inauthentic multimedia content that is already being misused at scale. We evaluate twenty deepfake detectors against ten generators released in the last four years and find accuracy decreasing over time, from near-perfect 99.5% to 76%. Adversarial perturbations further reduce every baseline detector to below 2% accuracy, effectively inverting the detector's assigned label. We argue that this unreliability reflects a fundamental ambiguity: generators can reproduce authentic content exactly (e.g., through memorization), so content alone cannot reveal the true provenance label. For this reason, content produced by a generator must admit a faithful reconstruction by that same generator, and finding such a reconstruction makes synthetic provenance plausible and authenticity plausibly deniable. We therefore propose and evaluate a detection paradigm that outputs a calibrated prediction of whether authenticity is plausibly deniable: a faithful reconstruction by any known generator establishes plausible deniability, while calibration bounds how often content from known generators fails to be reproduced. Our evaluation shows that (i) our detector can be calibrated so that at most 1% of generated content is wrongly certified, an operating point at which most baseline detectors reach near-zero recall, including the strongest with 93% accuracy; (ii) calibrating a stricter security threshold on attacked samples preserves this bound against adaptive adversaries within the evaluated bounded-perturbation attack space, whose perturbations break every baseline, but does not cover arbitrary adversarial transformations; and (iii) post-hoc verifiability is eroding, as 1,116 of 3,000 Reddit images resist reproduction by a 2022 generator, but only 55 to 79 resist reproduction by 2024 generators.