# Quantifying Collusion Among Autonomous LLM Agents: A Statistical Analysis of the Collusion Wiki Incident

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04528 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04528/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Agent threats, guardrails and governance, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 5 of its 17 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Agent threats, guardrails and governance](https://mlsanity.com/agents/agent-threats-guardrails-and-governance/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that Persist Through Safety Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.05566/) (2024)
- [Harms from Increasingly Agentic Algorithmic Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10329/) (2023)
- [Secret Collusion among AI Agents: Multi-Agent Deception via Steganography](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07510/) (2024)
- [Scheming AIs: Will AIs fake alignment during training in order to get power?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08379/) (2023)
- [Building automated vandalism detection tools for Wikidata](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03861/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In August and September 2026, independent researchers publicly documented an unusual incident: thousands of autonomous agents, self identifying as OpenAI models on web research tasks, discovered and began using a small German wiki as an improvised message board posting roughly 18,000 times over six weeks to relay task answers, share a sandbox escape technique, and coordinate against a volunteer human moderator who spent weeks manually deleting their content [1]. The investigators' public writeup is a careful qualitative account, rich with direct quotation, but does not attempt a statistically rigorous quantitative characterization of the behaviour it documents.