# Kepler4D: Controllable Future Video Generation via 4D Scene State Evolution

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04152 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04152/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Video-generation world models and simulators, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 42 of its 48 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Video-generation world models and simulators](https://mlsanity.com/wm/video-generation-world-models-and-simulators/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 42)

- [The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Deep Features as a Perceptual Metric](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.03924/) (2018)
- [Qwen2.5-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13923/) (2025)
- [SAM 2: Segment Anything in Images and Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.00714/) (2024)
- [Wan: Open and Advanced Large-Scale Video Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20314/) (2025)
- [RAFT: Recurrent All-Pairs Field Transforms for Optical Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.12039/) (2020)
- [VBench: Comprehensive Benchmark Suite for Video Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17982/) (2023)
- [The 2017 DAVIS Challenge on Video Object Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.00675/) (2017)
- [Genie: Generative Interactive Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.15391/) (2024)
- [Dynamic 3D Gaussians: Tracking by Persistent Dynamic View Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09713/) (2023)
- [Depth Anything 3: Recovering the Visual Space from Any Views](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.10647/) (2025)
- [GAIA-1: A Generative World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.17080/) (2023)
- [Self Forcing: Bridging the Train-Test Gap in Autoregressive Video Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.08009/) (2025)
- [MotionCtrl: A Unified and Flexible Motion Controller for Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.03641/) (2023)
- [DL3DV-10K: A Large-Scale Scene Dataset for Deep Learning-based 3D Vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.16256/) (2023)
- [Learning Interactive Real-World Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06114/) (2023)
- [MonST3R: A Simple Approach for Estimating Geometry in the Presence of Motion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.03825/) (2024)
- [GEN3C: 3D-Informed World-Consistent Video Generation with Precise Camera Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.03751/) (2025)
- [DriveDreamer: Towards Real-world-driven World Models for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.09777/) (2023)
- [RoboDreamer: Learning Compositional World Models for Robot Imagination](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.12377/) (2024)
- [MotionLM: Multi-Agent Motion Forecasting as Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.16534/) (2023)
- [Video World Models with Long-term Spatial Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05284/) (2025)
- [TrajectoryCrafter: Redirecting Camera Trajectory for Monocular Videos via Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.05638/) (2025)
- [VGGT-Long: Chunk it, Loop it, Align it -- Pushing VGGT's Limits on Kilometer-scale Long RGB Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.16443/) (2025)
- [Geometry Forcing: Marrying Video Diffusion and 3D Representation for Consistent World Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.07982/) (2025)
- [VLIPP: Towards Physically Plausible Video Generation with Vision and Language Informed Physical Prior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.23368/) (2025)
- [DeepVerse: 4D Autoregressive Video Generation as a World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.01103/) (2025)
- [VerseCrafter: Dynamic Realistic Video World Model with 4D Geometric Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.05138/) (2026)
- [LiveWorld: Simulating Out-of-Sight Dynamics in Generative Video World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.07145/) (2026)
- [Out of Sight but Not Out of Mind: Hybrid Memory for Dynamic Video World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.25716/) (2026)
- [Dream2Flow: Bridging Video Generation and Open-World Manipulation with 3D Object Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.24766/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Video world models aim to preserve scene structure and predict how dynamic objects evolve beyond visual observations. We present Kepler4D, a framework for future video generation through explicit 4D scene state evolution. Given a monocular video, Kepler4D constructs a shared 3D representation of background geometry, object motion histories, coarse spatial supports, and semantic context. Chain-of-Motion summarizes observed motion and uses a vision-language model to select structured speed and heading decisions and decide whether to bound object-center height from below. A deterministic rollout converts these decisions into future object trajectories for inspection and editing before synthesis. We render the evolving proxies into geometric controls for a pretrained video generator, separating coarse object motion from the synthesis of appearance and articulation. Experiments on real-world videos demonstrate that Kepler4D enables controllable object motion and plausible future rollout while preserving scene consistency.