# From Sight to Foresight: Predictive Spatial Reasoning in Vision-Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04139 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04139/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Spatial and embodied reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 38 of its 45 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Spatial and embodied reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/spatial-and-embodied-reasoning/)
- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Embodied and 3D vision-language models](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/embodied-and-3d-vision-language-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 38)

- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [Scalability in Perception for Autonomous Driving: Waymo Open Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04838/) (2019)
- [SAM 3: Segment Anything with Concepts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.16719/) (2025)
- [SpatialVLM: Endowing Vision-Language Models with Spatial Reasoning Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.12168/) (2024)
- [Depth Anything 3: Recovering the Visual Space from Any Views](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.10647/) (2025)
- [Thinking in Space: How Multimodal Large Language Models See, Remember, and Recall Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14171/) (2024)
- [Continuous 3D Perception Model with Persistent State](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12387/) (2025)
- [Ego-Exo4D: Understanding Skilled Human Activity from First- and Third-Person Perspectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.18259/) (2023)
- [MonST3R: A Simple Approach for Estimating Geometry in the Presence of Motion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.03825/) (2024)
- [SpatialRGPT: Grounded Spatial Reasoning in Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01584/) (2024)
- [MMSI-Bench: A Benchmark for Multi-Image Spatial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23764/) (2025)
- [VLM-3R: Vision-Language Models Augmented with Instruction-Aligned 3D Reconstruction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20279/) (2025)
- [Cosmos 3: Omnimodal World Models for Physical AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.02800/) (2026)
- [SpaceR: Reinforcing MLLMs in Video Spatial Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.01805/) (2025)
- [SpatialBot: Precise Spatial Understanding with Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.13642/) (2024)
- [3DSRBench: A Comprehensive 3D Spatial Reasoning Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.07825/) (2024)
- [From Flatland to Space: Teaching Vision-Language Models to Perceive and Reason in 3D](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.22976/) (2025)
- [Reinforcing Spatial Reasoning in Vision-Language Models with Interwoven Thinking and Visual Drawing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09965/) (2025)
- [Learning from Videos for 3D World: Enhancing MLLMs with 3D Vision Geometry Priors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24625/) (2025)
- [OmniSpatial: Towards Comprehensive Spatial Reasoning Benchmark for Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.03135/) (2025)
- [STI-Bench: Are MLLMs Ready for Precise Spatial-Temporal World Understanding?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.23765/) (2025)
- [SpatialReasoner: Towards Explicit and Generalizable 3D Spatial Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.20024/) (2025)
- [VLM4D: Towards Spatiotemporal Awareness in Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02095/) (2025)
- [3D Aware Region Prompted Vision Language Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.13317/) (2025)
- [SpatialScore: Towards Comprehensive Evaluation for Spatial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17012/) (2025)
- [Fostering Video Reasoning via Next-Event Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.22457/) (2025)
- [From Indoor to Open World: Revealing the Spatial Reasoning Gap in MLLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.19683/) (2025)
- [MLLM-4D: Towards Visual-based Spatial-Temporal Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.00515/) (2026)
- [STRIDE-QA: Visual Question Answering Dataset for Spatiotemporal Reasoning in Urban Driving Scenes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10427/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Predicting future spatial states supports collision avoidance and timely decision-making in dynamic environments. However, existing vision-language models (VLMs) and benchmarks for spatial reasoning primarily focus on observed scenes, leaving predictive spatial reasoning beyond the observed interval underexplored. To this end, we introduce SpatialMind, a metric-scale VLM for spatial reasoning and future prediction. Its metric depth adapter anchors spatial reasoning to real-world scale, while its progressive state chain establishes current spatial states and observed dynamics as the foundation for future prediction. Given a video prefix, SpatialMind predicts distances, motion directions, and spatial relations in both observed and unseen future frames. For training and evaluation, we build a scalable data engine that grounds entity descriptions in metric geometry to generate question-answer pairs and state supervision. Using this engine, we construct the SpatialMind-30K dataset and the SpatialMind-2K benchmark, both covering driving and everyday egocentric scenes. The benchmark spans eight tasks across three levels: current-state understanding, observed-dynamics understanding, and future prediction. Experiments show that SpatialMind substantially outperforms both general and spatially specialized models on our benchmark while achieving competitive zero-shot performance on VSI-Bench, OSI-Bench, and VLM4D.