# HazardWeaver: Scientific Route Selection for Hazard Analysis Agents

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03591 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.03591/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Web, search, and research agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 41 of its 68 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Web, search, and research agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/web-search-and-research-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 41)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.10902/) (2019)
- [Do As I Can, Not As I Say: Grounding Language in Robotic Affordances](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.01691/) (2022)
- [τ-bench: A Benchmark for Tool-Agent-User Interaction in Real-World Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12045/) (2024)
- [ChemCrow: Augmenting large-language models with chemistry tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05376/) (2023)
- [Plan-and-Solve Prompting: Improving Zero-Shot Chain-of-Thought Reasoning by Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04091/) (2023)
- [LLM+P: Empowering Large Language Models with Optimal Planning Proficiency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.11477/) (2023)
- [MLE-bench: Evaluating Machine Learning Agents on Machine Learning Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07095/) (2024)
- [AppWorld: A Controllable World of Apps and People for Benchmarking Interactive Coding Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.18901/) (2024)
- [PlanBench: An Extensible Benchmark for Evaluating Large Language Models on Planning and Reasoning about Change](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.10498/) (2022)
- [MLAgentBench: Evaluating Language Agents on Machine Learning Experimentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03302/) (2023)
- [Multi-Task Identification of Entities, Relations, and Coreference for Scientific Knowledge Graph Construction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.09602/) (2018)
- [ToolSandbox: A Stateful, Conversational, Interactive Evaluation Benchmark for LLM Tool Use Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.04682/) (2024)
- [SayPlan: Grounding Large Language Models using 3D Scene Graphs for Scalable Robot Task Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.06135/) (2023)
- [An LLM Compiler for Parallel Function Calling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.04511/) (2023)
- [Theory-guided Data Science: A New Paradigm for Scientific Discovery from Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.08544/) (2016)
- [DS-Agent: Automated Data Science by Empowering Large Language Models with Case-Based Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.17453/) (2024)
- [SciREX: A Challenge Dataset for Document-Level Information Extraction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.00512/) (2020)
- [MCP-Bench: Benchmarking Tool-Using LLM Agents with Complex Real-World Tasks via MCP Servers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.20453/) (2025)
- [FLAML: A Fast and Lightweight AutoML Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.04706/) (2019)
- [AutoML-Agent: A Multi-Agent LLM Framework for Full-Pipeline AutoML](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02958/) (2024)
- [DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash: Pushing the Limits of KV Cache Compression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.19969/) (2026)
- [FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.11987/) (2025)
- [MLE-STAR: Machine Learning Engineering Agent via Search and Targeted Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.15692/) (2025)
- [Next Day Wildfire Spread: A Machine Learning Data Set to Predict Wildfire Spreading from Remote-Sensing Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.02447/) (2021)
- [R&D-Agent: An LLM-Agent Framework Towards Autonomous Data Science](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14738/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Understanding and assessing natural hazards is essential for disaster preparedness and risk reduction. Recent advances in large language models have spurred growing interest in AI agents for hazard analysis, particularly their ability to integrate scientific data, models, and tools into automated workflows. However, effective automation requires agents to determine which scientific methods are appropriate for a given event and executable with the available data and tools. As new evidence and execution results become available, these conditions can change, requiring agents to reconsider their choices. We formulate this problem as state-dependent scientific route selection and introduce HazardWeaver. Specifically, HazardWeaver first leverages the Hazard Knowledge Compiler to extract evidence-linked conditions governing scientific applicability, then its Hazard Capability Graph represents executable scientific capabilities and checks compatibility between their inputs and outputs. Using these complementary representations, the Hazard Weaver Agent component selects applicable and executable routes, carries out their workflows, and revises its decisions as the analysis state changes. To evaluate both the scientific outputs and the decisions that produce them, we introduce the Hazard Weaver Benchmark, comprising 141 instances across seven single-hazard domains and four multi-hazard interaction classes. The benchmark accommodates multiple valid scientific routes and evaluates output correctness, route validity, and justified abstention. Extensive experiments on this benchmark show that HazardWeaver outperforms existing agent systems, with the largest gains on tasks with multiple eligible scientific routes. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/LabRAI/HazardWeaver.