# Calibration-risk routing for controlled world-model adaptation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01001 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.01001/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Latent dynamics models and model-based RL, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 14 of its 17 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Oct 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Latent dynamics models and model-based RL](https://mlsanity.com/wm/latent-dynamics-models-and-model-based-rl/)
- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [Deep RL algorithms and representations](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/deep-rl-algorithms-and-representations/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Maximum Entropy Deep Reinforcement Learning with a Stochastic Actor](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.01290/) (2018)
- [Dream to Control: Learning Behaviors by Latent Imagination](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01603/) (2019)
- [Domain Randomization for Transferring Deep Neural Networks from Simulation to the Real World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.06907/) (2017)
- [Constrained Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.10528/) (2017)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning in a Handful of Trials using Probabilistic Dynamics Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.12114/) (2018)
- [When to Trust Your Model: Model-Based Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.08253/) (2019)
- [Sim-to-Real Transfer of Robotic Control with Dynamics Randomization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.06537/) (2017)
- [RMA: Rapid Motor Adaptation for Legged Robots](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.04034/) (2021)
- [Temporal Difference Learning for Model Predictive Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.04955/) (2022)
- [Randomized Ensembled Double Q-Learning: Learning Fast Without a Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.05982/) (2021)
- [Off-Dynamics Reinforcement Learning: Training for Transfer with Domain Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13916/) (2020)
- [Inverse Constrained Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.09999/) (2020)
- [H2O+: An Improved Framework for Hybrid Offline-and-Online RL with Dynamics Gaps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.12716/) (2023)
- [Adapting World Models with Latent-State Dynamics Residuals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.02252/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) can exploit simulated experience, but a simulator-to-target shift creates a model-selection problem: correcting the simulator and fitting the target directly can each fail under limited target data. We introduce the Model-Corrected World Model (MC-WM), which separates initial target data into disjoint fit, selection, and calibration partitions and deploys the family with lower standardized calibration risk. A learned confidence signal and deterministic validity predicates weight one-step imagined policy updates without rewriting physical rewards. We evaluate 540 unique reported run cells across three controlled Multi-Joint dynamics with Contact (MuJoCo) shifts; one exact-routing cell was repeated after a pre-deployment artifact gate, giving 541 completed executions.