# Can We Anticipate Violence? Multimodal Learning from Pre-Incident Behavioral Cues

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.40014 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.40014/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 22 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14030/) (2021)
- [You Only Look Once: Unified, Real-Time Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02640/) (2015)
- [Training data-efficient image transformers & distillation through attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.12877/) (2020)
- [Real-world Anomaly Detection in Surveillance Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.04264/) (2018)
- [Not only Look, but also Listen: Learning Multimodal Violence Detection under Weak Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.04687/) (2020)
- [Weakly-supervised Video Anomaly Detection with Robust Temporal Feature Magnitude Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.10030/) (2021)
- [Anticipative Video Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.02036/) (2021)
- [A New Comprehensive Benchmark for Semi-supervised Video Anomaly Detection and Anticipation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13611/) (2023)
- [Learnable Expansion of Graph Operators for Multi-Modal Feature Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.01506/) (2024)
- [Language-guided Open-world Video Anomaly Detection under Weak Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.13160/) (2025)
- [Aligning First, Then Fusing: A Novel Weakly Supervised Multimodal Violence Detection Method](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.07496/) (2025)
- [Steering and Rectifying Latent Representation Manifolds in Frozen Multi-modal LLMs for Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.24021/) (2026)
- [Latent Clarity: Bridging World-Model Kinematics to Semantic Manifolds for Video Anomaly Anticipation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.03558/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Detecting violence after it begins is important from recognizing behavioral cues that appear immediately beforehand. This work studies short-horizon pre-incident risk recognition from multimodal video signals. We construct a binary Normal-versus-Risky setting from temporally annotated XD-Violence clips, using 443 samples with source-level separation across training, validation, and test sets. Each sample consists of a variable-length pre-incident clip, with its duration determined by the observable behavioral context preceding the incident. The inci- dent itself is excluded from all input clips. We evaluate three complementary information sources: facial-region appearance, temporally aligned audio, and body-motion features derived from tracked keypoints. Controlled ablations are performed with Swin-Tiny, ViT-Tiny, and DeiT-Tiny to measure the contribution of each modality under the same split. Results show that combining all modalities is more effective than using any other combination alone. The best configuration, Deit-Tiny with audio, facial appearance, and motion, achieves 91.21% accuracy, 88.96% balanced accuracy, 93.65% F1-score, and 96.38% ROC-AUC on the held-out test set. These results suggest that complementary appearance, acoustic, and kinematic cues provide useful evidence for recognizing elevated pre-incident risk.
