# Identifiability Guarantees for Drivers and Dynamics of Delayed Physical Systems

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.37944 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.37944/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 75 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Improved Training of Wasserstein GANs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.00028/) (2017)
- [DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01422/) (2018)
- [Learning Sparse Neural Networks through L0 Regularization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.01312/) (2017)
- [Augmented Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.01681/) (2019)
- [Physics Informed Deep Learning (Part I): Data-driven Solutions of Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.10561/) (2017)
- [DYNOTEARS: Structure Learning from Time-Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.00498/) (2020)
- [AI Feynman 2.0: Pareto-optimal symbolic regression exploiting graph modularity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10782/) (2020)
- [Discovering contemporaneous and lagged causal relations in autocorrelated nonlinear time series datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.03685/) (2020)
- [CITRIS: Causal Identifiability from Temporal Intervened Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03169/) (2022)
- [Learning Temporally Causal Latent Processes from General Temporal Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.05428/) (2021)
- [Augmenting Physical Models with Deep Networks for Complex Dynamics Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.04456/) (2020)
- [Chaos as an interpretable benchmark for forecasting and data-driven modelling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.05266/) (2021)
- [Gradients are Not All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.05803/) (2021)
- [Greedy Relaxations of the Sparsest Permutation Algorithm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.05421/) (2022)
- [Approximation Capabilities of Neural ODEs and Invertible Residual Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.12998/) (2019)
- [Synergies between Disentanglement and Sparsity: Generalization and Identifiability in Multi-Task Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14666/) (2022)
- [Neural graphical modelling in continuous-time: consistency guarantees and algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.02522/) (2021)
- [Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems via generative recurrent neural networks with applications to fMRI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.07186/) (2019)
- [CUTS+: High-dimensional Causal Discovery from Irregular Time-series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05890/) (2023)
- [ODIN: ODE-Informed Regression for Parameter and State Inference in Time-Continuous Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.06278/) (2019)
- [Enhancing Causal Discovery from Robot Sensor Data in Dynamic Scenarios](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10135/) (2023)
- [When are dynamical systems learned from time series data statistically accurate?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.06311/) (2024)
- [Sparsity in Continuous-Depth Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.14672/) (2022)
- [CausalDynamics: A large-scale benchmark for structural discovery of dynamical causal models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16620/) (2025)
- [Causal Climate Emulation with Bayesian Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09891/) (2025)
- [Tangent Space Causal Inference: Leveraging Vector Fields for Causal Discovery in Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.23499/) (2024)
- [Delay-SDE-net: A deep learning approach for time series modelling with memory and uncertainty estimates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08587/) (2023)
- [Modeling Irregular Astronomical Time Series with Neural Stochastic Delay Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.17521/) (2025)
- [Causal Structure Learning for Dynamical Systems with Theoretical Score Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.14361/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

A wide range of methods have been proposed, including physics-informed neural networks, which are powerful but do not guarantee identifiability of the dynamics, symbolic regression, which requires a set of precomputed operations, and causal discovery, which is more principled but usually relies on strong assumptions that physical systems may violate. In this work, we develop a theory-grounded method and prove that under a set of permissive assumptions, the structural drivers and drift of stochastic delayed differential equations are identifiable. Our method outperforms others on a benchmark for driver identifiability, and on a second benchmark to evaluate physical consistency of the learned dynamics.
