# Abductive World Modeling via Causal Representation Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.36985 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.36985/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Latent predictive world models, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 29 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Latent predictive world models](https://mlsanity.com/wm/latent-predictive-world-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 29 of 29)

- [Dream to Control: Learning Behaviors by Latent Imagination](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01603/) (2019)
- [World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10122/) (2018)
- [Learning Latent Dynamics for Planning from Pixels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.04551/) (2018)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [Learning to Simulate Complex Physics with Graph Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.09405/) (2020)
- [Object-Centric Learning with Slot Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.15055/) (2020)
- [V-JEPA 2: Self-Supervised Video Models Enable Understanding, Prediction and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09985/) (2025)
- [Genie: Generative Interactive Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.15391/) (2024)
- [Rescaling Egocentric Vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13256/) (2020)
- [Revisiting Feature Prediction for Learning Visual Representations from Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08471/) (2024)
- [VideoMAE V2: Scaling Video Masked Autoencoders with Dual Masking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.16727/) (2023)
- [Interaction Networks for Learning about Objects, Relations and Physics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00222/) (2016)
- [Variational Autoencoders and Nonlinear ICA: A Unifying Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.04809/) (2019)
- [DINO-WM: World Models on Pre-trained Visual Features enable Zero-shot Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.04983/) (2024)
- [Multi-Object Representation Learning with Iterative Variational Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.00450/) (2019)
- [Neural Relational Inference for Interacting Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04687/) (2018)
- [Conditional Object-Centric Learning from Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.12594/) (2021)
- [Bridging the Gap to Real-World Object-Centric Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.14860/) (2022)
- [Contrastive Learning of Structured World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.12247/) (2019)
- [SlotFormer: Unsupervised Visual Dynamics Simulation with Object-Centric Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05861/) (2022)
- [CITRIS: Causal Identifiability from Temporal Intervened Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03169/) (2022)
- [SCALOR: Generative World Models with Scalable Object Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.02384/) (2019)
- [Learning Independent Causal Mechanisms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.00961/) (2017)
- [Visual Interaction Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.01433/) (2017)
- [Object-Centric Learning for Real-World Videos by Predicting Temporal Feature Similarities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04829/) (2023)
- [Physion++: Evaluating Physical Scene Understanding that Requires Online Inference of Different Physical Properties](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.15668/) (2023)
- [Causal Representation Learning for Instantaneous and Temporal Effects in Interactive Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.06169/) (2022)
- [Orca: The World is in Your Mind](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.30534/) (2026)
- [OCK: Unsupervised Dynamic Video Prediction with Object-Centric Kinematics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.18423/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The central challenge of world modeling is to learn representations that capture how the world evolves. However, existing world models predominantly represent future states without explicitly capturing the latent causes underlying their evolution, limiting their ability to reason about why and how the world changes. To address this limitation, we propose Abductive World Modeling (AWM), a framework that learns structured causal representations by abductively inferring latent causes from predicted futures. Specifically, we realize AWM through the Hierarchical Abductive State Pyramid (HASP), which organizes the inferred world state into three complementary components - Entity, Dynamic, and Relation - capturing what exists, how it changes, and how entities interact, respectively. By jointly reasoning over the current observation and its predicted future, HASP abductively infers these latent factors and integrates them into a structured state representation for downstream reasoning. To the best of our knowledge, AWM is the first framework to introduce abductive state inference into latent-space world modeling for learning structured representations of world dynamics. Experiments across physical prediction, causal reasoning, and action understanding demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. Compared with V-JEPA, a state-of-the-art latent-space world model, AWM improves physical prediction AUROC by 10.7%, causal reasoning accuracy by 16.8%, and action Top-1 accuracy by 68.0%.