# Graph-Based Learning for Multi-Horizon Martian Atmospheric Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.35042 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.35042/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 40 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Fourier Neural Operator for Parametric Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.08895/) (2020)
- [Modeling Relational Data with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.06103/) (2017)
- [GraphCast: Learning skillful medium-range global weather forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.12794/) (2022)
- [FourCastNet: Accelerating Global High-Resolution Weather Forecasting using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.05419/) (2022)
- [Towards a Foundation Model for the Martian Atmosphere](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.28851/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Martian weather forecasting is important for future exploration, but atmospheric behaviour on Mars combines spatial, temporal, vertical, and dust-driven processes in ways that challenge current modelling and forecasting approaches. This paper introduces MaGMA (Martian Graph-based Multi-horizon Atmospheric Forecasting), a graph-based data engineering framework that transforms OpenMARS reanalysis fields into structured learning objects for Martian atmospheric forecasting. Local atmospheric patches are represented as graph nodes and linked through spatial neighbourhoods, temporal continuity, longer temporal dependencies, and dynamically similar atmospheric states. The model integrates recent atmospheric history, engineered physical descriptors, and vertical atmospheric information to support forecasting across multiple horizons. We evaluate MaGMA across five unseen Martian years, including regular years and a global dust storm year. In regular years, the model achieves overall R^2 values of approximately 0.73-0.85. For dust-column forecasting, it outperforms classical and deep temporal baselines in most year-horizon comparisons. During the global dust storm year, dust-column prediction remains strong at shorter horizons, with R^2 above 0.8 for the first two horizons, while broader multivariate performance declines. The results show that graph-based data engineering can create reusable and diagnostically useful representations for planetary atmospheric forecasting, while highlighting the need for better learning under rare extreme regimes and improved use of vertical atmospheric structure.