# Simulating Respondents, Not Single Questions: Coherent Survey Generation with Large Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.34828 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34828/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 9 of its 19 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.06899/) (2022)
- [Language Model Fine-Tuning on Scaled Survey Data for Predicting Distributions of Public Opinions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.16761/) (2025)
- [Specializing Large Language Models to Simulate Survey Response Distributions for Global Populations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07068/) (2025)
- [Valid Survey Simulations with Limited Human Data: The Roles of Prompting, Fine-Tuning, and Rectification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11408/) (2025)
- [Survey Response Generation: Generating Closed-Ended Survey Responses In-Silico with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11586/) (2025)
- [Plausible but Not Valid: A Psychometric Audit of LLMs as Synthetic Survey Respondents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.14606/) (2026)
- [Large Language Models as Virtual Survey Respondents: Evaluating Sociodemographic Response Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.06337/) (2025)
- [Distribution Shift Alignment Helps LLMs Simulate Survey Response Distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.21977/) (2025)
- [Beyond Marginal Distributions: A Framework to Evaluate the Representativeness of Demographic-Aligned LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.15755/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models are increasingly used to simulate response distributions in social surveys. Prior work has achieved accurate population-level simulation for individual questions. Real questionnaires, however, ask each respondent a sequence of related questions. A simulated respondent should show coherent preferences across the whole questionnaire, not merely accurate distributions for isolated items. Existing single-item methods cannot accurately reproduce how the same person answers a complete survey. We propose FullRespondent-LLM (FR-LLM), which fine-tunes two specialized LLMs: a marginal model for each item's response distribution and a respondent-level autoregressive model for dependencies across answers. Marginal-Constrained Joint Projection (MCJP) then projects the autoregressive joint distribution onto the set satisfying the item-level marginals learned by the first model. This yields complete questionnaires with realistic cross-item relationships while retaining strong item-level accuracy. On two real-world social survey datasets, FR-LLM more accurately reproduces multi-question response patterns, maintains competitive single-item accuracy, and generalizes better to unseen populations and questions. In a small commercial-survey dataset, we use simulated responses to make pricing and stocking decisions; FR-LLM achieves the highest realized profit.