# Demonstration-Free Success-Probability Reward Learning for Generalist Robot Policies

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.33653 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33653/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reward modeling and RLHF, one of 10 directions in LLM alignment / RLHF / preference optimisation.
- Builds on 55 of its 60 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM alignment / RLHF / preference optimisation / [Reward modeling and RLHF](https://mlsanity.com/alignment/reward-modeling-and-rlhf/)
- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [RL for robot locomotion and manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/rl-for-robot-locomotion-and-manipulation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 55)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [OpenVLA: An Open-Source Vision-Language-Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09246/) (2024)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.24164/) (2024)
- [π0.5: a Vision-Language-Action Model with Open-World Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16054/) (2025)
- [Offline Reinforcement Learning with Implicit Q-Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06169/) (2021)
- [Meta-World: A Benchmark and Evaluation for Multi-Task and Meta Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10897/) (2019)
- [BridgeData V2: A Dataset for Robot Learning at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.12952/) (2023)
- [Leveraging Procedural Generation to Benchmark Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01588/) (2019)
- [CogACT: A Foundational Vision-Language-Action Model for Synergizing Cognition and Action in Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.19650/) (2024)
- [WorldVLA: Towards Autoregressive Action World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.21539/) (2025)
- [LIBERO-Plus: In-depth Robustness Analysis of Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13626/) (2025)
- [π*0.6: a VLA That Learns From Experience](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.14759/) (2025)
- [Precise and Dexterous Robotic Manipulation via Human-in-the-Loop Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.21845/) (2024)
- [VLA-RL: Towards Masterful and General Robotic Manipulation with Scalable Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.18719/) (2025)
- [ConRFT: A Reinforced Fine-tuning Method for VLA Models via Consistency Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05450/) (2025)
- [SimpleVLA-RL: Scaling VLA Training via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.09674/) (2025)
- [RoboVQA: Multimodal Long-Horizon Reasoning for Robotics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.00899/) (2023)
- [Vision Language Models are In-Context Value Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.04549/) (2024)
- [A Vision-Language-Action-Critic Model for Robotic Real-World Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.15937/) (2025)
- [WMPO: World Model-based Policy Optimization for Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.09515/) (2025)
- [VLA-RFT: Vision-Language-Action Reinforcement Fine-tuning with Verified Rewards in World Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00406/) (2025)
- [Efficient Online Reinforcement Learning Fine-Tuning Need Not Retain Offline Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.07762/) (2024)
- [ReWiND: Language-Guided Rewards Teach Robot Policies without New Demonstrations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.10911/) (2025)
- [Robometer: Scaling General-Purpose Robotic Reward Models via Trajectory Comparisons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.02115/) (2026)
- [World-Env: Leveraging World Model as a Virtual Environment for VLA Post-Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.24948/) (2025)
- [RLinf: Flexible and Efficient Large-scale Reinforcement Learning via Macro-to-Micro Flow Transformation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.15965/) (2025)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Sparse Rewards using Guidance from Offline Demonstration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04628/) (2022)
- [RoboReward: General-Purpose Vision-Language Reward Models for Robotics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.00675/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Reinforcement learning (RL) enables generalist robot policies to improve through trial-and-error interaction, yet its effectiveness is fundamentally constrained by sparse task rewards. Existing general-purpose reward models typically alleviate this issue by learning task progress from expert demonstrations, but introduce a distribution mismatch with the mixed-quality rollouts encountered during policy optimization, making their estimates unreliable on suboptimal and failed behaviors from which the policy must learn. In this work, we introduce a demonstration-free reward learning paradigm where dense reward feedback can be learned directly from sparse task outcomes and policy experience. We theoretically show that terminal task outcomes implicitly define dense success-probability feedback at intermediate timesteps, which can be recursively learned through bootstrapping. Based on this insight, we introduce eVTA0, which learns success probabilities from mixed-quality policy rollouts through temporal-difference-style bootstrapping, without expert demonstrations or intermediate annotations. We further introduce RL with Evolving Rewards (RLER), a closed-loop framework that adapts eVTA0 using newly collected rollouts as the policy evolves. Experiments show that eVTA0 provides more informative rewards than state-of-the-art reward models and achieves the best average policy performance across all LIBERO task suites under the same RL training budget, improving success rates by 5.4%-13.8% over the initial policy. In real-world manipulation, RLER further improves overall success rates by 20%-26%, with 35%-36% gains under out-of-distribution conditions. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of demonstration-free reward learning and adapting rewards as the policy evolves. Project webpage: https://duowuyms.github.io/evta0.