# Supervision Recovery for Time Series Anomaly Detection via Context-Anchored Pairing

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.33610 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33610/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 28 of its 43 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02186/) (2022)
- [TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.10466/) (2021)
- [Anomaly Transformer: Time Series Anomaly Detection with Association Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02642/) (2021)
- [Graph Neural Network-Based Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.06947/) (2021)
- [Deep Semi-Supervised Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02694/) (2019)
- [LSTM-based Encoder-Decoder for Multi-sensor Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.00148/) (2016)
- [TranAD: Deep Transformer Networks for Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.07284/) (2022)
- [FITS: Modeling Time Series with 10k Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03756/) (2023)
- [Diffusion-TS: Interpretable Diffusion for General Time Series Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.01742/) (2024)
- [MAD-GAN: Multivariate Anomaly Detection for Time Series Data with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.04997/) (2019)
- [Deep Anomaly Detection with Deviation Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08623/) (2019)
- [Local Evaluation of Time Series Anomaly Detection Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.13167/) (2022)
- [ARC: A Generalist Graph Anomaly Detector with In-Context Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16771/) (2024)
- [Neural Contextual Anomaly Detection for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.07702/) (2021)
- [Towards a General Time Series Anomaly Detector with Adaptive Bottlenecks and Dual Adversarial Decoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.15273/) (2024)
- [AnomalyBERT: Self-Supervised Transformer for Time Series Anomaly Detection using Data Degradation Scheme](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04468/) (2023)
- [Unseen Visual Anomaly Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01078/) (2024)
- [KAN-AD: Time Series Anomaly Detection with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.00278/) (2024)
- [FlowTS: Time Series Generation via Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.07506/) (2024)
- [Detecting Multivariate Time Series Anomalies with Zero Known Label](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.02108/) (2022)
- [When Model Meets New Normals: Test-time Adaptation for Unsupervised Time-series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.11976/) (2023)
- [Position: Quo Vadis, Unsupervised Time Series Anomaly Detection?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.02678/) (2024)
- [LogFormer: A Pre-train and Tuning Pipeline for Log Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.04749/) (2024)
- [Towards Foundation Models for Zero-Shot Time Series Anomaly Detection: Leveraging Synthetic Data and Relative Context Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.21190/) (2025)
- [Robust and Explainable Detector of Time Series Anomaly via Augmenting Multiclass Pseudo-Anomalies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20765/) (2025)
- [PaAno: Patch-Based Representation Learning for Time-Series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.01359/) (2026)
- [Open Challenges in Time Series Anomaly Detection: An Industry Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05392/) (2025)
- [A Review on Self-Supervised Learning for Time Series Anomaly Detection: Recent Advances and Open Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.15196/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) remains challenging not only because anomaly labels are scarce, but also because temporal anomalies are highly context-dependent. Existing methods often rely on unsupervised objectives or surrogate abnormal patterns, providing limited supervision for context-dependent normal--anomalous distinctions. We propose Context-Anchored Pair Supervision (CAPS), a supervision-recovery framework for TSAD. CAPS views ideal anomaly supervision as a matched comparison between normal and anomalous outcomes under the same temporal context, and seeks to recover such supervision without target-domain anomaly labels. Using simulated normal--anomalous pairs, CAPS learns structure and anomaly-semantic representations through reconstruction, background consistency, and within-pair counterfactual recombination. The resulting anomaly representations form a continuous semantic space with coarse modes and induce a sampleable multimodal prior. CAPS conditionally realizes sampled semantics as residual-form effects on target reference trajectories. The resulting context-anchored normal--anomalous counterparts provide temporal supervision for discriminative detector learning. Experiments on nine datasets show that CAPS achieves the strongest aggregate performance across all four evaluation metrics among the compared methods, while complementary ablations and transfer analyses support the roles of context anchoring, semantic disentanglement, and conditional realization.